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<\/p>\nGood Wednesday to one and all. It’s no secret how mild and active our December pattern has been and this rolls on through the closing days of the month and year. This active pattern rolls into the first few days of the New Year as a major storm system moves in.<\/p>\n
This system brings the threat for flooding and strong storms for New Year’s Day, with crashing temps and some snow behind it on Sunday. Buckle up on this one.<\/p>\n
Let’s begin things with where we are today and roll forward. A front is draped across the region and will have a couple of showers and storms with it early today and will also give us another healthy north-south temp gradient. South of it we are deep into the 60s again.<\/p>\n
Showers and storms will develop across the Tennessee Valley and move northeastward late this afternoon and evening. The threat for severe storms is greatest just to the south of Kentucky, but a few of these storms may impact far southern and southeastern Kentucky. This is where the Storm Prediction Center has a low-end risk for severe storms today…<\/p>\n
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Damaging wind is the main player with any storms that go up across the south. My greater concern is for some flash flooding with a quick 1″-3″ of rain. Here’s the area to watch…<\/p>\n
Cooler and drier air moves in for Thursday with just a scattered shower chance.<\/p>\n This takes us into a nasty setup for New Year’s Weekend. Here’s what to expect:<\/p>\n Let’s check in on the models and see how they’re handling things.<\/p>\n Here’s the GFS…<\/p>\n The rain numbers from this run continue to raise eyebrows across the southeast, especially. This is from today through Saturday night…<\/p>\n Here’s the look from the Canadian…<\/p>\n And the rainfall through Saturday night…<\/p>\n The EURO looks like it continues to have feedback issues…<\/p>\n Those issues are very evident with the rainfall forecast that’s MUCH farther north than any other model…<\/p>\n Even the ICON disagrees with the EURO…<\/p>\n The temp crash behind all this is going to be pretty incredible. Here’s the GFS temp forecast from 7pm Saturday through Monday morning…<\/p>\n The wind chills during the same time…<\/p>\n To review, Saturday could reach 65-70 in many areas. Less than 24 hours later, it’s going to feel like the teens. 😲🥶<\/p>\n After a brief moderation in temps the middle of the week, we are likely to see an arctic front crossing the country and into our region late next week…<\/p>\n The operational run of the GFS shows the cold taking control…<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Chris-Special-1.png\")
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