{"id":5259,"date":"2012-12-22T01:56:28","date_gmt":"2012-12-22T06:56:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=5259"},"modified":"2012-12-22T01:56:28","modified_gmt":"2012-12-22T06:56:28","slug":"winter-storm-threat-christmas-night-wednesday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=5259","title":{"rendered":"Winter Storm THREAT Christmas Night &#038; Wednesday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Saturday everyone. Old Man Winter is coming on strong over the next week as we have several snow systems coming our way. I&#8217;m tracking three storms that will impact our weather during this time. The one getting the majority of my attention comes Christmas Night and Wednesday. My confidence has increased enough to shift the blog into <strong>WINTER STORM THREAT<\/strong> mode.<\/p>\n<p>More on that storm here in a bit. We have a system moving in for Christmas Eve that we need to talk about.<\/p>\n<p>Clouds and a light shower or two will increase on Sunday. The air across northern Kentucky may be just cold enough for a bit of a mix. A weak area of low pressure rolls eastward on Christmas Eve. This will tug down colder air behind it and the light rain during the day may end as a period of light snow and flurries in time for Santa. You can see that well on the GFS&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5261\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5261\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5261\" alt=\"GFS\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS24.png\" width=\"574\" height=\"193\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS24.png 574w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS24-300x100.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 574px) 100vw, 574px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Temps by Christmas morning will be in the mid and upper 20s with highs in the 30s. That brings us to the Winter Storm <strong>THREAT<\/strong> Christmas Night and Wednesday. A storm will develop across the western gulf region and head northeast. We are likely to see a lead low head into the Tennessee Valley before transferring energy to the primary low across the Carolinas. That storm will then lift to the northeast along the coast.<\/p>\n<p>The above scenario is actually shown nicely by the GFS&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5262\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5262\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5262\" alt=\"GFS 2\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-215.png\" width=\"502\" height=\"440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-215.png 502w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-215-300x262.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 502px) 100vw, 502px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That doesn&#8217;t mean every aspect of that model run is exactly correct, but I do think it has the right overall idea. If we strictly take that run as the gospel (and I&#8217;m not at all), this is what it shows for snowfall&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5263\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5263\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5263\" alt=\"GFS Snowfall\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-Snowfall1.png\" width=\"493\" height=\"314\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-Snowfall1.png 493w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-Snowfall1-300x191.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 493px) 100vw, 493px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It also features a period of freezing rain&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5264\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5264\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5264\" alt=\"GFS 5\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-5.png\" width=\"526\" height=\"380\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-5.png 526w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-5-300x216.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 526px) 100vw, 526px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again&#8230; the placement of the axis of snow and ice will change with each run and you should NOT take those maps to heart. I&#8217;m showing them to illustrate the possibilities. The GFS Ensemble mean doesn&#8217;t bring the lead low as far north and shows a colder scenario for the entire state&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5265\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5265\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5265\" alt=\"GFS 3\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-39.png\" width=\"662\" height=\"239\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-39.png 662w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/GFS-39-300x108.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 662px) 100vw, 662px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The new European Model is similar to the GFS, but appears to be a bit farther east with the heavy snow axis&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=5269\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5269\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5269\" alt=\"Euro\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Euro23.png\" width=\"551\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Euro23.png 551w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Euro23-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 551px) 100vw, 551px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While I feel confident this winter storm will have a big impact on the weather here in Kentucky, I cannot tell you the impact it will have where you live. That will have to be ironed out as we get closer to the event.<\/p>\n<p>By the way&#8230; I already have my eye on the next possible threat coming by next Friday or Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>I will have updates later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Saturday everyone. Old Man Winter is coming on strong over the next week as we have several snow systems coming our way. I&#8217;m tracking three storms that will impact our weather during this time. The one getting the majority of my attention comes Christmas Night and Wednesday. My confidence has increased enough to shift [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5259","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5259"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5259\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}