{"id":60423,"date":"2023-08-15T01:07:21","date_gmt":"2023-08-15T05:07:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=60423"},"modified":"2023-08-15T01:07:21","modified_gmt":"2023-08-15T05:07:21","slug":"a-september-feel-surges-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=60423","title":{"rendered":"A September Feel Surges In"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Tuesday to one and all. It&#8217;s feeling more like mid-September than the middle of August and you will find no complaints from your friendly weatherdude. This cooler than normal air hangs tough into the start of the weekend with a blast of heat trying to surge in behind it.<\/p>\n<p>Temps today are going to be a struggle in many areas. Northwest winds are gusting behind a potent storm system slowly pulling away to our northeast. Highs in the 70-75 degree range look likely in the north with mid to upper 70s for much of the rest of the state.<\/p>\n<p>Clouds and scattered showers will also be filling in behind our low pressure. Here are your radars to follow along&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-wrap\">\n<div class=\"post-content entry-content\">\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/builder.zoomradar.net\/zoomradar_weather_map\/weather_page.php?key=dlFZs5IY4VCw7bK\" width=\"560\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless=\"seamless\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.accuweather.com\/radar-large.asp?partner=netweather&amp;traveler=0&amp;site=KY_&amp;type=SIR&amp;anim=1&amp;level=state&amp;large=1#\"><strong><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/sirocco.accuweather.com\/nx_mosaic_640x480_public\/sir\/inmaSIRKY_.gif\" alt=\"\" usemap=\"#largemap\" data-src=\"https:\/\/sirocco.accuweather.com\/nx_mosaic_640x480_public\/sir\/inmaSIRKY_.gif\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Temps tonight will drop deep into the 50s where skies clear and will stay around 60 where clouds and any shower hang around.<\/p>\n<p>This sets the stage for another awesome temp day for Wednesday with highs mainly in the upper 70s central and east with low 80s west. We will need to watch for low-level moisture being a little stubbon and, if that&#8217;s the case, we could still spit out a stray shower in the east.<\/p>\n<p>Thursday starts in the 50s once again with upper 70s and low 80s for many. A few middle 80s will also be possible as southwest winds gust up ahead of the next cold front. This boundary has just a small amount of moisture with it so only scattered showers will be possible.<\/p>\n<p>This slides through and delivers more in the way of September air for Friday into the weekend. Highs are back into the upper 70s and low 80s for Friday and Saturday with lows dropping into the 50s.<\/p>\n<p>Heat does work toward us by early next week but the models are already edging this farther west with the heat ridge centered west of the Mississippi River&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60428\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"964\" height=\"760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7.png 964w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7-768x605.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 964px) 100vw, 964px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thunderstorms may drop in from the north and northwest by Wednesday and Thursday as we kick the heat ridge to the west with another trough dropping into the eastern part of the country&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60429\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-3.png 960w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-3-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-3-768x606.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Those maps are from the EURO which only goes out 10 days in advance. From there, it hands off to the Control Run of the EURO Ensembles. Check out what that run does with the trough&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-8.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60431\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-8.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The seasonal trend is hard to break, folks. That seasonal trend has been for troughs to dig into our region with only sporadic days with actual toasty temps. While we are likely to get some of those early next week, odds favor that only lasting for a few days.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m going to continue to sound the alarm on the lid coming off on the tropics over the next few weeks. The National Hurricane Center continues to track two systems well out in the Atlantic&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/xgtwo\/two_atl_7d0.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A few days ago I shared the winter forecast from a seasonal model known as the CanSIPS. You can read that post here: <a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=60361\">Active Setup Continues and A Look Way Down The Road<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The latest seasonal run from the EURO has a similar look to what the CanSIPS is showing with a nice-looking setup for winter lovers in our region. Like the CanSIPS, this model rarely shows anything but ridges and above normal temps, so it gets your attention when it doesn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with the look upstairs for November&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60411\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-6.png 984w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-6-300x246.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-6-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Notice all the higher heights across Canada with a weak trough underneath it across the southern half of the lower 48.<\/p>\n<p>That same look is there for December as the trough gets just a little broader&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60406\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-2.png 984w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-2-300x246.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-2-2-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Like the CanSIPS, the EURO shows that trough deepening into January as ridging goes up in western Canada into Alaska&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-3-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60407\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-3-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-3-1.png 984w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-3-1-300x246.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-3-1-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That look strengthens into February&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60408\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-4.png 984w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-4-300x246.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-4-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As I mentioned, this model really doesn&#8217;t see troughs and colder than normal temps very well. The &#8220;normal&#8221; temp forecast for the winter as a whole is likely good news for winter lovers&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60409\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-5.png 984w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-5-300x246.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-5-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We are in unprecedented times with the weather and climate&#8230; This should be VERY apparent to anyone paying attention. The world&#8217;s oceans are on fire with above normal temps across the globe, so what impact does a strengthening El Nino have on a ocean base state that&#8217;s already above normal? No one knows the answer to this, regardless of what they say because we have never seen this setup before.<\/p>\n<p>This animation from the EURO where it thinks the oceans are this winter. Watch how the El Nino in the tropical Pacific is forecast to move back toward the west over time&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-60410\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/EURO-7.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"546\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In a typical weather world, a farther west El Nino is usually a good sign for winter lovers in our region. These are not normal times, though. As always, we shall see.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy your day and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Tuesday to one and all. It&#8217;s feeling more like mid-September than the middle of August and you will find no complaints from your friendly weatherdude. This cooler than normal air hangs tough into the start of the weekend with a blast of heat trying to surge in behind it. Temps today are going to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60423"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60423\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}