{"id":60548,"date":"2023-08-26T01:01:29","date_gmt":"2023-08-26T05:01:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=60548"},"modified":"2023-08-26T01:01:29","modified_gmt":"2023-08-26T05:01:29","slug":"heat-busting-cold-front-and-watching-the-gulf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=60548","title":{"rendered":"Heat Busting Cold Front and Watching The Gulf"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Saturday, everyone. Friday was a day, wasn’t it? Some of the highest humidity levels combined with temps in the 90s to deliver some major heat index numbers before severe storms blasted many areas. These storms continue out there today as a big cold front works in.<\/p>\n

As this is happening, a tropical system is likely to develop in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and may threaten Florida as a hurricane by the middle of next week. That system becomes a wild card in the overall pattern.<\/p>\n

Ok, let’s start with what’s going on out there today.<\/p>\n

Our cold front is slowly moving through the state and is essentially parallel from west to east for much of the day. Temps behind this are much better across the northern half of the state but are still toasty across the southern half with some low 90s possible if you get enough sun.<\/p>\n

Waves of showers and thunderstorms will also target the region today and there’s still the possibility of a few strong to severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center shows the main threat across the southern half of the state…<\/p>\n

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A few leftover showers will be around on Sunday, especially early. Temps will come way down across the entire state. Highs should generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s for many.<\/p>\n

The pattern from here will be dictated by what happens with the system developing in the Gulf. It’s one of several systems being monitored by the National Hurricane Center right now…<\/p>\n

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Let’s focus on the Gulf threat and the outside possibility this may directly affect our region. Here’s a look at the system churning away between Cuba and the Yucatan…<\/p>\n

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The recent trend is for a stronger and slightly farther westward tracking system with landfall toward the Florida Pennisula before turning more inland toward the Carolinas. Here are the spaghetti plots which show the individual tracks from the various hurricane models…<\/p>\n

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The GFS Ensembles spaghetti plots are also a bit west and more inland…<\/p>\n

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Y’all know my thoughts on the GFS this summer… It’s pretty much garbage. Right now, it’s the only model bringing this system all the way into the Bluegrass state…<\/p>\n

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The chances of that happening aren’t zero, obviously, but it would be nice to see some other models show something similar before we get too excited.<\/p>\n

The Canadian Model matches up with the spaghetti plots in keeping this system rolling northeast toward the Carolinas…<\/p>\n

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This certainly gives us something to watch in the coming days as temps come down to normal and below into the first half of next week. This is NOT an early start to fall, though. Summer has a little more sizzle left in the tank for the first half of September! 🤬<\/p>\n

I leave you with your storm tracking tools for the day\u2026<\/p>\n

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