{"id":63874,"date":"2024-02-11T13:26:22","date_gmt":"2024-02-11T18:26:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=63874"},"modified":"2024-02-11T13:26:22","modified_gmt":"2024-02-11T18:26:22","slug":"winter-storm-threat-late-monday-tuesday-morning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=63874","title":{"rendered":"Winter Storm THREAT Late Monday-Tuesday Morning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good afternoon, everyone. I&#8217;ve decided to pull the trigger and upgrade to a full-blown Winter Storm THREAT from late Monday afternoon through early Tuesday morning. The storm system coming our way has been well advertised, but the track is starting to become more apparent and it&#8217;s one that can bring some healthy snows to parts of Kentucky.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a look at the Winter Storm THREAT area&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63889\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"987\" height=\"583\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png 987w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/SPECIAL-MAP-1-300x177.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/SPECIAL-MAP-1-768x454.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 987px) 100vw, 987px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again, this is just a THREAT for the potential of, at least, 4&#8243; of snow. The lines will also be adjusted so don&#8217;t get too caught up in where they are right now because things will likely change with updates. If confidence increases, then we will upgrade to a full-blown ALERT for parts of the area. If confidence decreases, we will simply track whatever Mother Nature throws our way. The regulars know how this works, but the newbies need an explainer.<\/p>\n<p>The flatter more west to east tracking low scenario is the trend of the models today and, if that holds, is a good one for snow lovers.<\/p>\n<p>After rain much of Monday, the future radar of the HRRR a heavy band of wet snow developing on the north and west side of the low, pushing east across the state&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63881\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the snow map from that run of the HRRR&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63882\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The model is also showing a nice band of sleet&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63880\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"967\" height=\"753\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-2.png 967w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-2-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/HRRR-2-768x598.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 967px) 100vw, 967px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The NAM is fairly similar to the HRRR with it&#8217;s snowfall corridor&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-2-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63876\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-2-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-2-1.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-2-1-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-2-1-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The GFS shifted has a bit more of a southwest-northeast orientation to this band of snow&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63875\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-1.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-1-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-1-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The WRF-ARW&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WRF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63879\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WRF.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"962\" height=\"755\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WRF.png 962w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WRF-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WRF-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 962px) 100vw, 962px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The RRFS&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RRFS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63887\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RRFS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"967\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RRFS.png 967w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RRFS-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RRFS-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 967px) 100vw, 967px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The RAP is farther southeast&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63878\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1100\" height=\"797\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP.png 1100w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP-1024x742.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP-768x556.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/RAP-1080x783.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The new EURO is even farther southeast&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EURO-12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63886\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EURO-12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"972\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EURO-12.png 972w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EURO-12-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EURO-12-768x599.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 972px) 100vw, 972px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The GFS Ensembles shows the average snowfall of 21 different members and lines of with the Ohio River&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63883\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"755\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-2.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-2-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/GFS-2-768x601.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Hi Res NAM is the lone holdout on the southward shift of the day as it keeps the heaviest snow north of the Ohio River&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63877\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"966\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-4.png 966w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-4-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NAM-4-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 966px) 100vw, 966px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I cannot discount that solution, but it doesn&#8217;t have any friends right now. Of course, that could easily change with the next set of runs.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see, this storm system is still a work in progress with lots of changes to the forecast still to come.<\/p>\n<p>I will have additional updates later today and will be on WKYT News on the CW Lexington at 6pm and 10pm, then on WKYT-TV at 11.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy the evening and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good afternoon, everyone. I&#8217;ve decided to pull the trigger and upgrade to a full-blown Winter Storm THREAT from late Monday afternoon through early Tuesday morning. The storm system coming our way has been well advertised, but the track is starting to become more apparent and it&#8217;s one that can bring some healthy snows to parts [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63874"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63874\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63890,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63874\/revisions\/63890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}