{"id":66261,"date":"2024-09-16T01:06:59","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T05:06:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=66261"},"modified":"2024-09-16T01:06:59","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T05:06:59","slug":"tropical-rains-threaten-from-the-east-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=66261","title":{"rendered":"Tropical Rains Threaten from the East This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Monday, folks. We are watching the weather go in reverse this week as a tropical system moves into the Carolinas today and heads toward the west. This system likely brings rain into the eastern half of the state over the next few days.<\/p>\n

This system has been well advertised here on KWC as it’s been on our radar for nearly a week now. The current satellite loop shows how quickly this system is coming together today just offshore from Myrtle Beach…<\/p>\n

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This should become Tropical Storm Helene before coming ashore late today or tonight near Myrtle Beach. The center then rolls toward the southern Appalachian Mountains through Wednesday.<\/p>\n

Here’s the latest information and track forecast from the National Hurricane Center…<\/p>\n

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Here’s my current thinking on who has the best chance to pick up on some of the tropical rains from this system…<\/p>\n

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The NAM actually brings the remnant low all the way into eastern Kentucky, thus, keeping some showers spinning into Wednesday night. This animation goes from this afternoon through Wednesday evening…<\/p>\n

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That would bring the best rains through eastern Kentucky with some showers going farther west toward Interstate 65.<\/p>\n

Other models aren’t as far west with this system. Here’s the GFS…<\/p>\n

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The pattern remains very blocky and there’s the chance for another system to develop in the Gulf or off the southeastern seaboard. With so much blocking going on during a seasonal transition of a month like September, some wild model swings are showing up as they struggle with so much action.<\/p>\n

Still, we can clearly see lower heights across the southeast with additional energy trying to dive in from the northwest this weekend and early next week…<\/p>\n

GFS<\/p>\n

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CANADIAN…<\/p>\n

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I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm today. Until then, here are your radars to track this system\u2026<\/p>\n