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<\/a><\/p>\nThis is a WIDESPREAD 1″-3″ rainfall that should encompass most of Kentucky. The forecast models are growing more emphatic with the rain numbers as we get closer…<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n November has wasted no time in making up for the lack of rainfall we had in October and it’s also a signal on a much broader pattern change across the country.<\/p>\n One thing that’s still the same, though, is a very active tropics. Sara is likely to develop soon in the Caribbean…<\/p>\n That system will then work into the Gulf of Mexico next week and will likely be a hurricane. This may very well become a landfalling system with Florida the most likely destination.<\/p>\n As that system is churning through the Gulf of Mexico, MAJOR blocking goes up from Greenland to Alaska. That will send a massive, slow-moving upper level system from the Plains into the eastern half of the country. That has a chance to pick up Sara if it forms as forecast.<\/p>\n The whole blocking pattern then looks to continue into Thanksgiving week, possibly making for some cold turkey.<\/p>\n This is a good time for an upgrade to the EUROPEAN Model as it’s run time now goes out to 15 days instead of stopping at 10. Woot!!<\/p>\n The brand spanking new run of the EURO goes through the Wednesday before Thanksgiving and gives us a great look at everything I just talked about. Here’s a look at the upper levels…<\/p>\n Some really cold air relative to normal shows up under the massive blocking in Canada. Say hello to the Barney colors…<\/p>\n At the surface, the EURO is active…<\/p>\n Now, the surface forecast will change a lot in the coming days, but the trends will remain the same.<\/p>\n It’s always good when we find the EURO and GFS on the same page and that’s what we have right now…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a> <\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n