{"id":67941,"date":"2024-12-12T01:19:33","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T06:19:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=67941"},"modified":"2024-12-12T01:19:33","modified_gmt":"2024-12-12T06:19:33","slug":"an-active-pattern-with-some-changes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=67941","title":{"rendered":"An Active Pattern with Some Changes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Thursday, everyone. It&#8217;s a cold and windy day across Kentucky as we continue with an active pattern. This pattern continues to give us temp ups and downs, but a change toward colder is likely in the days leading up to Christmas. Can we get some snow during this cold snap?<\/p>\n<p>Speaking of cold, wind chills out there this morning range from the high single digits in the north to mid-teens in the south. These low wind chills fade into a seasonable brand of cold with highs in the 30s under a mix of sun and clouds.<\/p>\n<p>Temps return to the 40s by Friday as we get set for a rainmaker to push in late Saturday into Sunday. That will then be followed up by another rain maker later Monday into Tuesday as colder air comes in behind that&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-2-9.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67947\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-2-9.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>From there, we watch a more significant system that may impact our weather later next week with another dropping in behind it as the pattern goes back to cold. The Canadian Model has had one of the hottest hands you will ever see from any model as it has been well ahead of all other models with the snows of the past several weeks.<\/p>\n<p>The winter signal from the Canadian continues to show up later next week&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-19.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67949\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-19.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check out the cold weather with that setup&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-3-4.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67948\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Canadian-3-4.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The respective biases of the GFS and EURO are both coming into play with how they handle the setup later next week.<\/p>\n<p>The GFS is in its typical progressive and too far east mode&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-19.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67950\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-19.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again, slow the model down and shift everything west and it&#8217;s the starting point.<\/p>\n<p>On the flipside, the EURO is having trouble with energy ejecting from the southwest, which is a major bias of the model. Still, it&#8217;s trying&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-19.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67951\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-19.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The AI version of the EURO has been all over this potentially cold and wintry setup late next week into the start of Christmas week. It has been showing several cold shots with the chance for a couple of winter weather makers&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-18.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67942\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-18.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>If you want a White Christmas, you have to have the cold in place first and foremost and that&#8217;s what the AI is seeing&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-2-9.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67943\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURO-2-9.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Remember this run of the GFS Ensembles from just a few days ago&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67847\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"975\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS.png 975w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-300x233.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-768x597.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 975px) 100vw, 975px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I called it out as BS at the time. The same GFS Ensembles now look like this&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67953\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"971\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-1.png 971w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-1-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GFS-TEMPS-1-768x599.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 971px) 100vw, 971px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I love it when a model plan comes together. ha<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll hook you up with updates later today so check back. Until then, make it a good one and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Thursday, everyone. It&#8217;s a cold and windy day across Kentucky as we continue with an active pattern. This pattern continues to give us temp ups and downs, but a change toward colder is likely in the days leading up to Christmas. Can we get some snow during this cold snap? Speaking of cold, wind [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=67941"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67941\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67954,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67941\/revisions\/67954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=67941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=67941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=67941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}