{"id":69870,"date":"2025-02-09T01:32:59","date_gmt":"2025-02-09T06:32:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=69870"},"modified":"2025-02-09T01:32:59","modified_gmt":"2025-02-09T06:32:59","slug":"winter-storm-threat-and-flood-threat-for-the-week-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=69870","title":{"rendered":"Winter Storm THREAT and Flood Threat For The Week Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s a much calmer day across Kentucky but this isn’t going to last very long. We have one heck of a week of weather taking shape with a Winter Storm Threat and the increasing potential for significant flooding issues.<\/p>\n

Temps out there today range from the mid 30s to mid 40s in most areas with a mix of sun and clouds. Monday looks rather similar to what we have cooking out there today.<\/p>\n

Low pressure develops in the Mid-Mississippi Valley Monday and scoots eastward through the Tennessee Valley Monday night through Tuesday night. This brings a swath of accumulating snow that can put down several inches with a stripe of mixed precipitation south of that. Farther south is heavy rain that can cause flooding.<\/p>\n

The exact track of that low means all the difference between heavy snow and heavy rain for any one location. I put together this map back on Thursday and I still haven’t found much of a reason to change it…<\/p>\n

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I’m going to put out a First Call map later today, but I do expect it to have a west to east based swath of snows that can reach 4″ or more. Where do I put this? How narrow of a swath is it? Those are just a few of the questions I have to tackle today. That and do we get enough mix and freezing rain to cause some issues. Never a dull moment, folks.<\/p>\n

If you’re a snow lover, the GFS is still your model of choice as it produces a wide swath of VERY heavy snow for much of the state…<\/p>\n

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The NAM isn’t too far behind, but it’s farther north and actually looks a lot like my Threat map with the overall placement of everything…<\/p>\n

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The EURO is very similar…<\/p>\n

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The Canadian Model has the most overall precipitation and is a bit north…<\/p>\n

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This will be followed up by two more big storm systems. The first one moves in later Wednesday into Thursday with the second system moving in over the weekend.<\/p>\n

The GFS is too weak with the first system but seems better with the second one over the weekend. That one brings a lot of rain and wind before ending as snow as cold air crashes in…<\/p>\n

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The Canadian Model has more of a winter look with both of those systems…<\/p>\n

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The EURO has the same general look but is even stronger with the weekend storm system. That would bring a ton of rain and high winds before a switch to snow…<\/p>\n

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Given the state of the soaked ground and the upcoming storm tracks, here’s the area I’m highlighting for flash flooding and general flooding at various points over the next week…<\/p>\n

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I’ll be back with updates through the day and one of those will be a First Call For Snowfall.<\/p>\n

Have a great Sunday and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s a much calmer day across Kentucky but this isn’t going to last very long. We have one heck of a week of weather taking shape with a Winter Storm Threat and the increasing potential for significant flooding issues. Temps out there today range from the mid 30s to mid 40s in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=69870"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69870\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69884,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69870\/revisions\/69884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=69870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=69870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=69870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}