{"id":73661,"date":"2025-11-15T01:56:02","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T06:56:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=73661"},"modified":"2025-11-15T01:56:02","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T06:56:02","slug":"mild-winds-crank-ahead-of-big-changes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=73661","title":{"rendered":"Mild Winds Crank Ahead of Big Changes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Saturday, everyone. It&#8217;s a mild and windy day across the Commonwealth as we gear up for a cold front to drop in tonight and early Sunday. This brings in normal air for a few days before our pattern turns active ahead of a big transition to winter.<\/p>\n<p>Temps today range from the upper 60s to middle 70s on a strong southwest wind. That wind is ahead of a cold front that touches off a broken line of showers and even a clap of thunder as it moves through tonight. You can see this on the future radar from the Hi Res NAM from 7pm this evening and ending at 7am Sunday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/NAM-13.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73664\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/NAM-13.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Skies clean up very quickly Sunday with northwest winds knocking the highs down to the upper 40s to middle 50s. It&#8217;s still a pretty darn good weather day.<\/p>\n<p>Similar temps will be noted for Monday as clouds increase ahead of our first storm system set to blow through here Monday night through Tuesday night. This system follows along a stout temp gradient&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-29.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73667\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-29.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That sets the stage for a couple stronger storm systems to impact our weather from later this week into the start of Thanksgiving Week. These systems may very well bring strong to severe storms, gusty winds and heavy rains&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-8.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73672\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-8.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Some healthy winds are possible with these systems&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-23.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73669\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-23.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"963\" height=\"756\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-23.png 963w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-23-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-23-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 963px) 100vw, 963px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve talked about how these patterns offer up some absolutely wild forecast model flips and that&#8217;s exactly what we are seeing, especially on some of the operational runs. Of course, that&#8217;s to be expected with any forecast map that goes out for more than a week. That said, this may be one of the all-time flips by the EURO on back-to-back runs. Check out the massive trough digging in here with the Friday run&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-2-13.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73670\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-2-13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"755\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-2-13.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-2-13-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-2-13-768x601.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The very next run has a huge ridge in here for the exact same time&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73671\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"965\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-6.png 965w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-6-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-3-6-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is why the Ensembles are a much more reliable and consistent signal than the operational models. The EURO AI Ensembles sees the trough developing during Thanksgiving Weekend&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-4-4.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73675\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-4-4.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The GFS Ensembles are similar&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-24.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73674\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-24.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That shows some flake chances before the month is over, too&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-SNOW-3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73676\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-SNOW-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"964\" height=\"756\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-SNOW-3.png 964w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-SNOW-3-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GFS-SNOW-3-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 964px) 100vw, 964px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The signal from the EURO Weeklies continues to be for coast to coast colder than normal temps in December&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-22.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-73662\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-22.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"964\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-22.png 964w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-22-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURO-22-768x603.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 964px) 100vw, 964px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s rock the start of this winter!<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ll also have another update or two today and I&#8217;ll have updates on my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ChrisBaileyWKYT\">Meteorologist Chris Bailey Facebook Page<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Until then, here are your tracking tools for the day\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/x-hv1.pivotalweather.com\/maps\/warnings\/nwshaz.us_ov.png\" data-src=\"https:\/\/x-hv1.pivotalweather.com\/maps\/warnings\/nwshaz.us_ov.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/builder.zoomradar.net\/zoomradar_weather_map\/weather_page.php?key=dlFZs5IY4VCw7bK\" width=\"560\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless=\"seamless\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.accuweather.com\/radar-large.asp?partner=netweather&amp;traveler=0&amp;site=KY_&amp;type=SIR&amp;anim=1&amp;level=state&amp;large=1#\"><strong><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/sirocco.accuweather.com\/nx_mosaic_640x480_public\/sir\/inmaSIRKY_.gif\" alt=\"\" usemap=\"#largemap\" data-src=\"https:\/\/sirocco.accuweather.com\/nx_mosaic_640x480_public\/sir\/inmaSIRKY_.gif\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Have a sensational Saturday and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Saturday, everyone. It&#8217;s a mild and windy day across the Commonwealth as we gear up for a cold front to drop in tonight and early Sunday. This brings in normal air for a few days before our pattern turns active ahead of a big transition to winter. Temps today range from the upper 60s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73661","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73661","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=73661"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73661\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73677,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73661\/revisions\/73677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=73661"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=73661"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=73661"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}