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<\/a><\/p>\nI’m still watching Friday for the flake potential with a weak disturbance passing through. Temps are frigid with wind chills dropping way down there Thanksgiving Day into Black Friday…<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n Temps jump late this weekend as a strong storm system develops in the Plains. The models are quickly focusing farther east with the track of this system as they start to get a handle on the amount of arctic air coming into the country and that troughs don’t want to hang out long in the southwest.<\/p>\n The EURO AI doesn’t give us precipitation types, but you can see rain to snow on this with the system to end November and begin December…<\/p>\n Look at that deep trough all of a sudden showing back up on the EURO AI for the first few days of December…<\/p>\n The GFS isn’t that aggressive with the cold, but you can clearly see how it’s much farther east and faster with the entire setup. The GFS has a series of lows passing through here late Thanksigivng Weekend into the first three days of December. The latest model run had snow to heavy rain\/storms then snow during the aforementioned time span…<\/p>\n Again, neither of those models will be correct, but we are looking at the trend. The trend is for the winter potential to return quicker than the models were seeing yesterday.<\/p>\n One of the reasons the GFS flipped is it’s no longer seeing a landfalling tropical system along the Gulf Coast to start December. However, it’s still trying to make that happen later in the first week of the new month…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n