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<\/a><\/p>\nThe GFS continues to be very weak with this system and has the best snow look with it…<\/p>\n
It continues to try to put down some light accumulations from southwest to northeast along and south of the Ohio River with a smackdown north of the river…<\/p>\n The Canadian Model and the GFS are in decent agreement on this system…<\/p>\n It does have a little sharper cutoff to the best chance for accumulating snows…<\/p>\n The EURO is the slowest and strongest with the system, likely because the model has trouble with energy coming from the southwest and how to properly handle it. The EURO has some light rain and pockets of flakes with any accumulating snows well north of our region…<\/p>\n While I can’t say that won’t happen, that’s not the preferred solution right now. I suspect you’ll see the model correcting closer to the GFS\/Canadian look.<\/p>\n As that pushes through, our attention quickly turns toward a much stronger system coming in from the southwest, taking a track to our east and southeast. The details of how this plays out are a few days away from really showing up so we just look for the signal of a storm system.<\/p>\n As I said earlier, all modes of winter weather are on the table with this storm. Every model changes on the details from one run to the next, so don’t get attached to any one model.<\/p>\n Here’s the overnight run of the GFS…<\/p>\n And the Canadian Model for the same time…<\/p>\n The EURO is also seeing this storm potential…<\/p>\n From there, you’re going to see the models making the same exact mistake they made for the current setup as they tried to force all this cold into the west with a ridge in the east. That failed miserably, but the same extreme setup is present and it’s just too much for most of the models to handle.<\/p>\n I’m already looking toward late next week into next weekend for another big arctic front dropping in from the northwest. That has a chance to team with some energy coming in from the southwest, which is what’s showing up on one particular run of the Canadian…<\/p>\n I’ve not been shy with my thoughts about a rough start to winter for much of the country and started talking about this in late summer. The pattern I envisioned is already showing up and is likely to really become established through December. The latest EURO Weeklies go all the way through January 10th and shows a cold country…<\/p>\n This is also the snowiest look we’ve seen from the EURO Weeklies…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n