![\"Watches\"](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/HRRR-5.gif\")
<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/a><\/p>\nThe model may very well be a little too fast in getting rid of the showers and storms on Monday. The NAM shows some pretty decent action hanging around through the early evening on Monday…<\/p>\n
The Storm Prediction Center is blanketing our region in Today’s Severe Weather Outlook…<\/p>\n Damaging wind and large hail are the main players with today’s storms with a very low tornado risk.<\/p>\n We’ve had areas of flash flooding each day since Tuesday and today is likely to bring more of the same. The Weather Prediction Center has that risk outlined…<\/p>\n Temps and humidity levels come down behind this departing system on Monday with better feeling air into the middle of the week. That will be followed by more in the way of showers and storms as a system slowly moves through the region later next week into the weekend.<\/p>\n The Canadian and Euro are similar…<\/p>\n CANADIAN<\/p>\n EURO<\/p>\n Cooler temps accompany that setup.<\/p>\n Let’s look even farther down the road toward the winter months. We have a raging El Nino that is currently developing and it may very well become the strongest El Nino ever recorded and it may be by a good margain.<\/p>\n Lately, I’ve talked about how this current Super El Nino is already deviating from the handful of past Supers with the summer pattern across the lower 48 and here in Kentucky. It’s very interesting to watch how every single seasonal model looks similar with regard to their respective forecasts.<\/p>\n All have a much colder look than what we would normally expect during a Super El Nino, which can be blazing for much of the country.<\/p>\n Here’s the CFS forecast for December-February…<\/p>\n The CanSips is a little more widespread with the cold…<\/p>\n The JAMSTEC only gives us a global view, so I’ve circled the US to show the cold look it also has…<\/p>\n That’s wild to see so much of the world with well above normal temps with the bullseye of cold right on top of our little corner of the globe.<\/p>\n The NMME is usually pretty warm biased, but it has a similar colder look…<\/p>\n As does the EURO Seasonal…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n