{"id":78551,"date":"2026-08-24T00:51:30","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T04:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=78551"},"modified":"2026-08-24T00:51:30","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T04:51:30","slug":"a-nice-start-to-the-last-week-of-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=78551","title":{"rendered":"A Nice Start to the Last Week of August"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Monday to one and all. It continues to feel the part of mid-September out there as we begin the final week of August. These below normal temps hang tough for a bit with a few storms showing back up before the week is finished.<\/p>\n<p>Highs today range from the middle 70s to low 80s after we begin the day in the 50s. Temps are back in the 50s tonight and early Tuesday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WRF-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-78556\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WRF-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"958\" height=\"756\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WRF-1.png 958w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WRF-1-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WRF-1-768x606.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 958px) 100vw, 958px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tuesday looks mainly dry with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.<\/p>\n<p>Moisture increases on Wednesday as a cold front moves, but there&#8217;s only an isolated storm chance in the west. Highs are back into the low and mid 80s.<\/p>\n<p>A cold front drops in on Thursday, bringing a few showers and storms that last into early Friday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GFS-13.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-78560\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GFS-13.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The timing on that could be better because we have the chance to see a partial lunar eclipse Thursday night&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SPECIAL-MAP-2-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-78552\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SPECIAL-MAP-2-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"940\" height=\"788\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SPECIAL-MAP-2-1.png 940w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SPECIAL-MAP-2-1-300x251.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SPECIAL-MAP-2-1-768x644.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 940px) 100vw, 940px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That coincides with a full moon, so it will be pretty awesome if the clouds stay away.<\/p>\n<p>If we look at the latest analog composite forecast for the start of September from the GFS Ensembles, we start to see a lot of El Nino years showing up. The years are the first 4 numbers of each line in the bottom right&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-78554\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"705\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-1.png 678w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-1-289x300.png 289w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>2005 being on the list is kind of wild because it was a weak La Nina that also had the busiest hurricane season on record going on.<\/p>\n<p>1997 is on there twice and it&#8217;s the only Super El Nino year showing up. 1968 was a moderate El Nino, 1996 and 1985 were neutral, 1994 was a moderate El Nino. 1987 and 2009 were strong El Ninos.<\/p>\n<p>If we remove 2005 for obvious reasons, here&#8217;s what the remaining years, some double-weighted, give us for temps and rainfall in September&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-78558\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"557\" height=\"981\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-2.png 557w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Analog-2-170x300.png 170w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That won&#8217;t work out perfect by any means, but it&#8217;s something I typically put together from time to time to see where patterns may go.<\/p>\n<p>Have a magnificent Monday and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Monday to one and all. It continues to feel the part of mid-September out there as we begin the final week of August. These below normal temps hang tough for a bit with a few storms showing back up before the week is finished. Highs today range from the middle 70s to low 80s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=78551"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78551\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":78561,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78551\/revisions\/78561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=78551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=78551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=78551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}