![\"\"](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/GFS-2-3.gif\")
<\/a><\/p>\nAnd the snow map from that run…<\/p>\n
Again, take that with a big grain of salt from this far out and that goes for any forecast model.<\/p>\n Here’s what the average of the GFS Ensembles are seeing…<\/p>\n The Canadian isn’t as robust as the GFS with that low and is slower overall with the evolution, but it has a similar overall thought process. This animation starts Wednesday and goes through Sunday…<\/p>\n And the snow map from that run…<\/p>\n Can this system give us the first flakes of the season? Yes, absolutely. Can it be a little more in some areas? Yes, if things go right. Does this mean it’s a given we will for sure see the first flakes reported in our region? Not yet.<\/p>\n Once that system moves away, we find temps rebounding pretty quickly for a bit.<\/p>\n The bigger changes toward winter continue to show up later in the month before really digging in for December. The latest GFS Extended runs through December 11th and really shows the setup I’m talking about…<\/p>\n Notice how that trough deepens as we hit December? That would be one to produce early season snows around here and the snow map from that same model run likes that idea…<\/p>\n The EURO Weeklies have been leading the charge with this pattern for a while and they haven’t budged. The Weeklies go out farther in time and take us all the way to December 22nd…<\/p>\n The snow map during that time is the average of 101 different members…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n