Good afternoon, gang. Mild and windy weather is back in the bluegrass state for the weekend. That won’t last long as we track an arctic front into town on Monday. That bad boy will bring a big drop in temps and the potential for some afternoon and evening frozen precipitation.
The European Model continues to advertise this well…
Use that as a guide to where the model thinks frozen precipitation will fall and not for the actual depth. Monday evening travel can become tricky for a few areas.
The front then lifts back to the north and puts the brakes on. That puts Kentucky in between the really mid air to the south and the chilly and cold stuff to the north. The end result will be rain and the potential for plenty of it. The European Model shows quite a bit over the next 10 days…
If you are like looking at computer forecast models, you are noticing how they are now seeing big cold shots down the road. Those are warning shots of a flip back to cold that’s likely coming for the middle and end of December. It looks like that will be accompanied by a very active southern storm track. Hmm.
Have a great rest of the day and take care.
Chris, this is not a complaint against you, but instead the models: they ALWAYS show snow and cold down the road. Why? It’s winter. They always seem to show a big snow for central Kentucky 5-7 days out and then change their mind.
Been looking at the totals forecast posted on here for the past few days. They started out on the first run highest, then went to lowest, now they’re in the middle. At least it seems “sound” that they’re calling for the frozen stuff—but like you said, given the ground temps…I’d cut those accumulations in half. We might get 1.3″ of frozen falling but not all of that will stick.
I’m with you Aaron, anymore, I just stick my head out the door & see what its doing. That’s about as good as any forecaster can do, especially when they start that “nowcasting” nonsense.