Good Sunday evening everyone. Here is hoping you have had a great weekend. The weather was a bit on the bummer side today with clouds, showers and a chill in the air. The pattern that will be leading us up to and then through the upcoming holiday will be one that brings some fun to a whole lot of people across the country and that is likely to include us.
We have broken down the week ahead pretty good already. Cold shot coming for mid week then a clipper for the end of the week. It is what digs in behind this clipper that can really get things cranking as the overall look suggests a big time storm will crank across the eastern half of the country. All the models not named the GFS are showing this for next weekend in some form or fashion. The term “old school” may be used before all is said and done. Now… that does not mean thats what will happen around here!! It just says the pattern has the LOOK!
Here is the Canadian Model for next Saturday morning…
That is as far as the morning model run goes out but you have to love the cold high to our north with low pressure in the gulf. The European Model shows something similar, although a big more progressive with the overall flow…
Saturday Morning
Sunday Morning
The JMA model goes nuts with this storm and would represent a fairly extreme event.
Just something to keep track of this week and that is what we will be doing here at the center! Beyond this weekend… cold really takes hold and snow chances will be plentiful!![]()
Full update later tonight… take care.
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Thanks for the update, CB. I saw on aol news that they’re predicting a white Christmas for many places. It even said that we have an 11-25 chance at it. I’ll hold my hooray’s till it gets here, lol.
Looks like most of us will make it through December without a snow day. I guess I will take all of our snow days in January and February.
you could have had a flood day like us in Knox County have had 😉
Thanks for Setting the Record Straight Chris
Thanks Chris! It sure would be nice to have real winter weather in these parts for a change. I never paid much attention to having lots of snow back when I was a child (too long ago to mention how long ago). That’s just what it did back then. Maybe the nostalgia of it all is why I wish and hope for lots of snow every year!
Ohhh, WOOONow…IF”>WWW!!!:)
Now…IF we could just get that Big/Bad Boy IN HERE…it would make ALL our Christmas Gift Lists’ COMPLETE!!!:D
Me, too, patty…
Me, too!;)
one thing for sure a huge trough and very cold temps are almost a given, nws highs in the mid 40s are good for a laugh! whether or not we get snow is the question.
Question for all or any of the weather experts….
Which model is more accurate 7 days out..???
JMA
Euro
GFS
CAN…????
…
Reckon how many times that will change in the next few days? Chris, I hope this all plays out like it seems right now. I’d LOVE to have snow on the ground for Christmas!(Or, any time in the winter, for that matter, 😉 )
Waiting for the next update, Chris! Wanting to see what your thinking is on everything!
Here is that link. 🙂
http://www.sphere.com/nation/article/cold-temperatures-plus-el-nino-storms-could-bring-snow-for-christmas/19273488?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl1|link3|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sphere.com%2Fnation%2Farticle%2Fcold-temperatures-plus-el-nino-storms-could-bring-snow-for-christmas%2F19273488
LOL!;)
I have NO CLUE what happened w/my last post there…ha-ha-ha!!!:D
If there’s REALLY a Santy Claus out there..I’d like a new computer…nothing fancy..just basic….
OK…new keyboard accepted graciously….?!:)(I type so fast & hard and long, I wear ’em out…seriously…)
JMA
CAN
GFS
CAN
Which is more accurate 7 days out..???
Anyone can answer… lol
…
JMA
CAN
GFS
CAN
Which one is more accurate 7 days out..???
Anyone can answer…
This is my 3rd try at posting this question, if it doesn’t go through this time, I give up…. lol
should have included Euro, not (2) CAN’s…lol
sorry
oh, who even listens to NWS…well, LMK, anyhow…??!
My hubby’s cousin is married to Don Kirkpatrick…don’t personally know the dude, but, yet…?! 😉
Sometimes, I think we are all better off just trying to ‘figger it out for ourselves’, ya know?!;)(I know that I have actually had better luck @ it…?!)
Kirkpatrick is a met at LMK refrenced one of his papers for my thesis.
euro (ecmwf) gets a slight edge in my view though none of them are all that great.
For this Christmas I would LOVE to have snow on the GROUND but not on the ROADS. 😉
Thanx Mitch..!!
I really liked your “System to Watch” in your 14-day…
Where has it gone..??? lol
MJ knows him (previous blog post comment)
I’ve been to many “Family” things, but just saw Mary Ann & kids…Don was never around(reckon he was always working??!), but it would be really awesome to pick his brain about Wx-related things!(It’s on my F-I-L’s side of the fam…we don’t really see them much…?!) I am an absolute snow/ice/winter wx/lover -ALWAYS!-but I also went thru the April 3, ’74 tornado here in Nelson Co-my cousin was the only fatality, unfortunately..:( I wasn’t IN the twister, but stood outside w/ my Grandpa watching it from about 6+ miles away-hitting Boston, Ky, Samuels/Deatsville/Cox’s Creek areas…-I will NEVER forget that day…just a very humid,”climey”, creepy day…then actually seeing the tornado from the distance & vantage point above the “knobs” we had….then next day, we went “sight-seeing”….?!-I could go on & on about it?!- I’m 47, I have to take med’s to get me thru really bad storms…I’m adjusting…lol! The last few times we’ve had Tornado Warnings here in Bardstown..?!- I am like “Jo” on “Twister”…I am right out in the yard…looking…scared to DEATH?!- and I idolize Reed Timmer…go figure…???!;)
Maybe a “White” birthday…….works for me! 🙂
14 day forecast is now updated on my site.
Very simple in words but in reality, many discrepancies, not so peachy!