Good Thursday everyone. The New York adventure of your friendly weather dude rolls on so my blogging has taken a hit and will do so until the weekend. The big news has been the damaging winds from Wednesday. This was an incredible system with gusts of 50-60mph in many areas. I don’t recall having as many high wind events as we have had over the past 18 months or so… it has been amazing!
The cold air blew in right on cue and snow flurries and snow showers were on and off and a few of those will roll into early today. You can track them here…
Since I have been away from a computer for so long… I only have time to scan over the models and charts to see what is coming down the road for us. Here are some quick thoughts…
1. Cold day today with temps in the 20s for highs. Gusty winds will make it feel colder than that.
2. Friday will start out very cold with low and mid teens with low 30s for afternoon highs.
3. The weekend system is doing just the opposite of what we thought it would. The trend is for a light precip event late Saturday into Sunday and the models have gone a touch milder meaning a cold light rain or mix.
4. One of the reasons the weekend system has changed is the cold blast ticketed for Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. The big question is will a storm form ahead of this cold push? We shall see.
Ok… that is all I can give you this go around.I will update again as I can later today or tonight. Have a great day and take care.
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You forgot the most important thing. CATS WIN!
In Lawreceburg/Frankfort…21 degrees, Wind Chill 10 degrees, light snow falling, dusting of accumulation. Brrr…
Looks like the Cats are superstars with Wall, and mediocre without Wall. Not good for a final 4 hope.
ROADS COVERED IN NKY. oh yeah. it made the CHRISTmas music i was listening to on the way to work more festive. He’s the reason for the season!
havent seen any snowflakes down here along the border this morning,yet anyways..but its COLD !!! but not as cold as the rest of the state, 29* here in Barbourville, while low 20’s and teens are being reported out west. so we might actually go into the 30’s down here today..
OH YEAH!!! and as Michae said, WAY TO GO CATS!!!… Are we gonna beat Adolph Rupp’s record of 10-0 ????…I believe we can so lets….”GIT-R-DONE” !!!
OOPS!!! light snow/flurries are flying now outside here in Barbourville…
awesometron, there is no need for that on a weather blog.
WHats wrong with his comment?
I agree 100% !!!
No need for what? CHRISTmas music? It probably wasn’t really CHRISTmas music anyway…all the stations here are playing this year is Santa Claus music.
with chelle that is… 🙂
Agreed, since it is called CHRISTmas 🙂
I think all the commercial focus on Santa makes people forget that.
Thanks Tim 😉 Hope your family is feeling better
I agree with Tim who agrees with Chell and i also agree with WXman
thanks for the support yall. just got excited to see some snow falling this morning while listening to oh holy night. makes me feel good.
i dont understand some people.
Looks like my Bubbacast of a Wet Willy for this weekend is correct. I expect next week’s system to play out like this one just did. KY can not seem to get out off the fence for these things anymore.
alittle Sean Kingston..lol…
SOMEBODY CALL 911 !!! the GFS is FLOPPIN ON THE DANCE FLOOR…lol…
here is CHRIST mas storm now, on the 21st…and it just brushes east ky…but afterwards snowshowers,squalls lead all the way to CHRIST mas eve…
6z gfs..
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_pcp_276m.gif
I agree with you Bubba, the REASON for the season is totally lost! Everyone forgets THE Gift we were given. The gift Jesus CHRIST gave me was the BEST GIFT EVER!
I think you were putting a “plug” in for JC, the Big Guy upstairs. Trust me , in todays world HE needs all the “Plugs” HE can get. Oh well, GOD BLESS ALL OF YOU WEATHER FANS!
not trying to get everybody all fired up or nothing. i just come to this site know my weather, not to get involved in that other stuff.
Well, that “other stuff” is important to some people and what he said was pretty benign compared to some “stuff” that gets said on here!
AMEN!
thanks Chelle, AWESOMETRON, BubbaG, Andy, Tim, Bengalfan. I agree w/ you all 100% Nice to hear from believers, and weather freaks on the same blog 🙂
Phil, it is what it is. You get one, you get the other.
Its the purpetual week or week and a half away blizzard that is always shown. Why are we suprised. I say we bypass winter and go right on into spring. Didn’t that happen in Camalot once?
“Are you suggesting cocoanuts migrate?”
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Nothing wrong with his statement. I agree, Jesus is the reason for the season!
And way to go Big Blue!!!!!!!!! I hope we win 10-0 games. Yes!!!
The flurries are so pretty here just north of Hazard, and it’s so cold. BRRR!
Stay warm everyone!
The best thing to do then is not say anything about it then buddy….Merry CHRISTMAS Phil…thats the best STUFF we could talk about anywhere we are….besides the fact that the weather is all in relation to “THE STUFF” Jesus Christ
MODERATION!!!! Lets try this again…
Its the perlpetual week to week and a half away snow storm/blizzard, that fizzles into flurries or a cold rain. Are we suprised?
I say we skip winter all together and go right back into spring. I think that happend in Camalot once…
“Are you suggesting cocanuts migrate?”
Feel free to correct me if I am wrong! ( just do it nicely!) lol……I don’t recall it being THIS cold, THIS early since I have been here, and I moved here in 2000. Just seems awful early to be this cold and we aren’t even in WINTER yet!
Thanks, Chris! Have a good time in NYC. Pics look good, and the CATS did too!
Live it up! Have a GREAT day!
Chelle, it has been a long time since it was this cold this early..Cold, yes, but I don’t remember temps like these in a while.
As for CHRISTmas….I realize that some may not want to remember the real reason for the season, but that will nt deter me from wishing EVERYONE a MERRY CHRISTMAS! I won’t say Happy HOlidays, or whatever. IF you don’t celebrate Christmas, that is your choice, but please don’t try to make me feel like I have done something wrong because I DO. Wise men still seek Him……
Have a GREAT day!
FOrgot to mention it is 25 degrees, wind chill of 14 and a few flurries flying here this morning!
Actually Winter gave Spring and Summer a miss and went straight on into Autumn. Until one day… 🙂
wow…I need to read my posts before I actually post them. TYPOS!!!
I agree 100% with the wise woman above!
I was hoping someone was going to get that reference…..
Merry Christmas!
I love this blog and am glad that others believe in CHRISTmas.
sunny and 28*…what a wasted day that it could be pouring the snow…:(… 🙂
but hey all is good, its a LONG TIME until May 1st….
It is a bit cold for this time of year. Normally this kind of cold doesn’t move in until January. Go figure…7 straight months of cold, then November is warm, now December is cold again. It’s Kentucky. We’ll probably have a nice warm spell in January or February.
Lots of snow can happen between now and May 1st (most likely March 1)
Yeah, the annual “January Thaw” will come into play at some point. I really hope to see some snow between now and then, somehow, Wxman, though, so that there will be something to “thaw.” 😉
Well, without CHRIST there would be no weather, so no blog…
Not a better way to say it Coffeelady. MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL!
Snow showers this morning have tapered off here in Lawrenceburg but left behind a light dusting. (Such as powdery snow too) What a frigid day too…hasn’t even risen above 24 degrees yet.
So who else is dreaming of a storm next week? It could happen…lol
now that’s a proper nyc welcome you got chris with reference to the tweet.
I’m still holding out a bit for tue, though it’s looking more unlikely for something. A long range concern of a negative PNA for a few days mid to late next week, shows up on the new 12z gfs. late next week the EPO also goes negative also making the chances for something then not that great in terms of snowstorms, though maybe more of a clipper like event by late next week depending on the amplification of the trough.
How does a 5 ounce bird carry a one pound coconut?
Maybe two of them could fly together….
ok I mention several times about my attention was for Christmas week. well there a BIGG DADDY showing up.
Christmas week MONSTER, check it out on models if somebody that can post it.
shows a foot plus in charoltte.lol
yea it will not happen but I figured I talk about it because SOMEONE will get hammered that week IMO.
on a side note AS THE WORLD TURN HAS been canncelled. darn
Rain Rain go away come back again in the spring when we all watch for thunderstorms! Never was a very good poet! LOL!
Valid point. And if there was weather, it would’t really matter because there’d be worse things to worry about.
The avg. temp. for December is going in the tank. I’d say we are 7 or 8 degrees below avg. right now, which is very impressive to say the least.
Its a simple question of weight ratios…
Listen. In order to maintain air-speed velocity, a swallow needs to beat its wings forty-three times every second, right?
NYC police officer kills Times Square panhandler
Associated Press NEW YORK
– An undercover cop chased a Times Square scam artist through sidewalks crowded with holiday shoppers and tourists Thursday, exchanged gunfire with the suspect and killed him near a landmark hotel, police said.
No one else was injured. The 25-year-old suspect was believed to be conning tourists along Broadway and 46th Street when he was recognized by a sergeant who works on a task force that monitors aggressive panhandling, chief NYPD spokesman Paul Browne said.
When the officer approached, the man took off running the streets and through the Marriott Marquis hotel’s passenger drop-off area, Browne said. The sergeant pursued, and the man turned and fired with a Mac-10 machine pistol that held 30 rounds; he got off two shots before it jammed, Browne said. The officer returned fire, killing the suspect, Browne said. It’s not clear how many shots he fired.
Dave Kinmahan, a tourist from Boston, was parking his car in a spot below street level at the hotel when he saw one man shooting another.
“I was 20 yards away,” Kinmahan said. He said he thought, “Is this real or this a movie?”
The hotel is located in the Broadway theater district and near the heart of Times Square. The area includes the Minskoff Theatre, home to the popular show “The Lion King,” and bullets hit the theater ticket box near the Marquis, cracking the window.
Dozens of police officers surrounded the popular hotel, taping off the valet parking area as tourists and holiday shoppers stopped to watch the commotion. Kathleen Duffy, a spokeswoman for New York City Marriott Hotels, said the shooting took place in a taxi pickup and drop-off area.
The slain man was not immediately identified. Officers suspected him and another man were working a scam in which they would approach tourists, ask them their names, then write their names on the CDs and demand payment of $10.
The 25-year-old suspect had been wanted for assault in the Bronx, but the officer approached him because he was recognized as an aggressive panhandler, authorities said. There were 27 live rounds left in his gun, authorities said.
Duncan Stewart, a Broadway casting director for National Artists Management Co., has a 12th-floor office that overlooks Times Square. He said he was on the phone when he heard three loud pops.
“With the echo, I didn’t quite know what it was, but within five minutes, there were cars, police sirens, cops running,” he said. “It was chaotic.”
Stewart has worked in Times Square for the past three years. He’s gotten used to seeing the weird and wacky, but almost never anything violent.
“It’s bizarre. It’s one thing to see the Naked Cowboy day after day in Times Square, but a shooting is something different altogether,” he said.
NYC Police killed a guy right in Times Square this afternoon. I see that Chris was there today.
I can’t believe some schools and universities were closed in Wisconsin! It’s Wisconsin!
I agree with all my CHRISTmas buddies.Maybe if we had more of it in schools we would have less shootings.MERRY CHRISTMAS and on to the weather.We are still having pretty big wind gust temp sitting at 28 in Pikeville.Chris you rock have a great time in the big apple take pics.Have you seen any snow there? Don’t forget to look for the cash cab.
Could some one post the gfs for christmas time frame poth the new and old
seems like the blog is having difficulties
march 20 or so for northern ky! 😀
18z,,,here is a nice little rain to snow event on the 14/15…not much In the way of snow I would say…
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_120m.gif
after this upslope snows, clippers for the 20-23…then that oh so magical snowstorm that was showing up the other day for Christmas day has turned into a late day rain event with temps. well into the 40’s and 50’s…I would call that GFS ON DRUGS!!!..lets see how many times it changes from now til then….LOL…
As of right now it looks like a nice little rain snow event but I have an intuition that this could become a fairly signifigant system bringing snow to some one in our neck of the woods… More on my thoughts after tommorows runs…
MAN WHAT A FORECAST !!! FOR WATERTOWN NEW YORK….THIS WOULD BE AWESOME HERE!!!!…….
Tonight: Snow and areas of blowing snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Windy, with a west wind between 26 and 30 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible.
Friday: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow before noon, then snow showers likely and areas of blowing snow between noon and 2pm, then snow showers and areas of blowing snow after 2pm. High near 25. Windy, with a west wind between 28 and 31 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Friday Night: Snow showers likely before 6pm, then snow likely and areas of blowing snow before 3am, then scattered snow after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 16. Windy, with a west wind between 24 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Saturday: Snow likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 29. Breezy, with a west wind between 14 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%
I MEAN WHATS 30″ OF SNOW BETWEEN FRIENDS!!!…LOL…:)
Here’s the forecast for Hooker, NY, just to the southeast of Watertown on the Tug Hill:
Overnight: Snow showers before 2am, then areas of blowing snow and scattered snow showers between 2am and 3am, then snow showers after 3am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -6. Windy, with a west wind between 22 and 26 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.
Friday: Snow and areas of blowing snow before 10am, then snow likely and areas of blowing snow between 10am and 11am, then snow and areas of blowing snow after 11am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 21. Wind chill values as low as -5. Breezy, with a west wind between 23 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.
Friday Night: Snow and areas of blowing snow. Steady temperature around 19. Wind chill values as low as -1. Breezy, with a west wind between 21 and 24 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible.
That is a forecast of 32″ to 46″ in the next 24 hours! Those folks up there just take it all in stride, though!
According to the This Day in National/World Weather History … on the NWS site, on 10 December 1995 → Intense lake effect snow squalls buried Buffalo, NY under 37.9 inches in 24 hours. Watertown, NY recorded 39 inches in just 12 hours and had 4 inches of snow an hour each hour for 6 consecutive hours. Can you imagine getting 2 feet of snow in just 6 hours! CRAZY!
I wonder if anyone knows what the greatest hourly snowfall rate ever recorded is? I have hear of rates in the 5-6″/hour range, but was curious if this is “official”?
well i for one is starting to get a little worried. I really thought this winter was gonna bust the snow dome. So far its still going with our trend for the last 11 years. Maybe january threw march will bust the snow dome. I hope so anyway
If anyone thinks we’re gonna get a BIG SNOW STORM for Christmas…
I have some Steelers playoff tickets I’d like to sell ya’…! lol
Go John Wall..!!!
…
Come on vinny, not so hard on our steelers. Their having a tuff go but they will be back. They allways do.
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