Good Sunday everyone and thanks for blogging with us! Here we are ready to round out the weekend with more in the way of nice weather across the region. The weather has been rather calm in recent weeks giving your friendly weather dude a chance to get a little R and R! The pattern over the next week is likely to be anything but calm and quiet!

Let’s start with where we are now and that is with more of the same. Highs today will reach 60 in most areas under partly sunny skies and this will make for a great way to end the weekend. Monday and Tuesday look good as well with temps that will be in the 60s for highs with more in the way of some sunshine.

It is once we get past this point that things will begin to get a little more active. It all starts with a strong storm system across the plains states. This storm is likely to produce a big severe weather event out there Monday and Tuesday. Showers and storms will then make their way toward us Tuesday night into Wednesday. Here is the NAM model for Wednesday morning…



We will have to see how the timing of the front into the state works out before we can see if we will see any strong storms out of this. The pattern from this point forward into next weekend is one that can produce a lot of rain and storms around here. I talked about this some with my last post. A deep trough is forecast to slowly dig into the western half of the country and slowly head toward the east. This can put us in a moist southwesterly flow as the next storm system moves toward us by the end of the week into next weekend.

The GFS shows this setup nicely…

FRIDAY NIGHT



That setup could produce widespread showers and storms across much of the region… IF it comes to pass. Check out the 60 hour rain totals the model is spitting out…




That is certainly something for us to keep an eye on in the coming days.

I mentioned a deep trough across the west… this trough is forecast by the models to work east after the rains leading to a colder pattern. Some of the models suggest some flakes would be possible!

GFS SUNDAY EVENING


Enjoy the next few days, folks!

I will have another update coming later tonight so check back. Until then… take care!