Good Tuesday evening gang. The forecast over the next several days looks to play out like we’ve been talking about here on the blog. A big rainmaker moves in for Wednesday with a blast of winter for Thursday and Friday and a weekend clipper. I love it when a plan comes together. 🙂
Rain moves in from southwest to northeast overnight and continues into Wednesday as low pressure works right on top of us. Heavy rains of 1″-2″ will be possible for some areas. There may be just enough energy with this low to produce some thunder!
The arctic front arrives on the scene Thursday and will pack quite the punch. The system is looking more and more dynamic as we get closer to it and that means there is a great chance for widespread light snow and squalls from late Thursday into Friday. Temps Thursday will start in the 40s across central and eastern Ky and will dive quickly into the 20s as the front passes. Winds are going to really crank up as the snows break out.
I have been saying most of the moisture will be BEHIND the front and that’s exactly how it looks, right now. The NAM and GFS are both coming in MUCH wetter and colder as we get closer. I really like what the NAM is doing…
This is a dynamic setup and you can see most of the precipitation is behind the arctic front and will be in the form of snow. There is actually some enhancement showing up Thursday night into early Friday as we get the passage of the thermal min and a thickness trough. That model shows -20c 850mb air near the Ohio River early Friday. That’s impressive, folks.
This keep snow showers and squalls kicking into Friday with temps struggling in the low and mid 20s after starting out in the teens. Winds are going to CRANK and wind chills will be near zero at times.
I do expect accumulations out of this and this should be enough for some delays or cancellations on Friday.
The weekend clipper continues to show up on most of the models and the GFS has even sniffed out what the European has been cooking…
There will likely be a swath of accumulating light snow along and just to the north of the clipper track. We’ll see where that sets up in the Ohio Valley as we get a little closer.
I am noticing the comments section getting a little chippy of late. Slow your roll, people. 😉 I see some comments complaining about me actually talking about weather and showing certain maps. Ummm… this is a weather site. If you aren’t a fan of what you read or see… peace out. 🙂
A full update comes your way later tonight. Have a great evening and take care.
what type of ratios are we looking at with the weekend clipper? I cant see much accumulation for thursday except for northern and eastern ky looks like have the best chances
Chris do you mean thursday in the third paragraph about temps starting in the 40s?
wait nvm I’m seeing things.
saw that too, obviously so did Chris! He beat you to it!
I thought I was losing it for a minute lol
Keep up the good work Chris….I go to your site daily and respect the job you do…Thank you for keeping us weather watchers informed!!
Chris, you do an excellent job. Forget the ones who are haters!
Thanks for the update! Looks like there should be enough snow on the ground by Sunday to break in the kids new sleds. That’s a good start, maybe even enough to lighten the mood around here. By the way Chris, please continue mentioning any snow possibilities you see! If that is in fact considered hype, it is still what keeps the blog fun!
I totally agree, talk about snow all you want I will listen.
Continue to keep up the good work by giving everyone a greater insight into the future weather forcast.
Love your blog. Check it first thing every morning. Also enjoy your twitter updates especially during severe weather outbreaks. Keep up the good work.
I love that chris said if you dont like it then peace out..lol..i mean come on people its the ohio valley.. wait 5 minutes and it will change..all the belski fans know where chris is coming from..you stick your neck out and get it cut off when your wrong…about the site.. the only thing that is slow on me is the maps loading up
keep up the good work
Thank you for your work Chris and you are right.. if they can not be right on here Peace Out.. I support you.. thank you for everything you do…
Thanks for the update. I enjoy looking at all the weather maps even if I don’t always understand them. Chris, you are exactly right. If you don’t like this site then don’t go to it or post something bad about it. There are many of us who love it. Get your wrong weather somewhere else.
Chris let your work do the talking and don’t brag like a certain weather guy who works out on Russell Cave Road. 🙂
I’m hoping I at least get to see a few flakes a flyin’!!
AND….MikeM you’ll have to wear a flower in your lapel everytime you go to Kroger just in case I’m there!! I have to know it’s you somehow!! LOL!
I’d like to go to kroger to stock up for a big snow storm. don’t know that I will get that opportunity the way things are going.
There are more websites about weather for those that aren’t appreciative of your time and expertise….take bowel movements blog for example….sounds like that would be right up their alley LOL!
I was also thinking…let the haters go to bm’s blog and not ever know anything that’s going on with the weather. CB, you are the man!! 🙂
Sounds like a chili-cocoa-electric-blanket-kind-of-weekend. And I’ll take it!
Chris, you are our favorite weatherman! We love reading your blog and want you to continue talking about possible snow. We miss you in Lexington!
Apparently it does rain on thursday before the artic front gets here. Good call Mitch! When does the change over occur? Afternoon Thursday?
I love your blog and enjoy checking it several times a day! You do a great job. Thank you!
Ha ha ha…Peace Out. You rock Bailey boy! Loving the new layout of the blog.
I love your blog! You are right when no one else is! Sounds like we have an interesting few days ahead of us!
I’ve noticed a pattern myself. I won’t mention any names but a certain weather station was originally posting 52 degrees for Thursday. I told my wife, wait and see a couple of days before it snows they’ll change it. Well they have. Chris is awesome, he sees it coming way before anyone else does.
Your predictions have always been spot on for me here in far Eastern Ky, just about 10 miles from the VA border. When it snowed several inches here on the 1st, everyone acted totally thrown off…especially the snow plow guys. I knew it was gonna snow because Chris Bailey said so!!!
I love doing the ha ha dance everytime you nail it Chris!!!
Can’t we all just get along?
Rodney King is a wise man. No snow in LA.
I was in L.A. when that happened. Much like our current weather, NO FUN AT ALL.
Yep, no fun at all and obviously (based on behavior), Rodney King is not wise.
I started SeeinG dem biRds go frOm chirpin ta DancIng earlyer taday sO i no its gunna be snoWing sOon to.
lol SLOW UR ROLE I THOUGH CB was getting ready go SAMUEL JACKON in PULP FICTION on aome. wooooooooooooooooooo
Chris
I was reading some of the negative comments & I think it’s just a way for them to deal with their disappointment. For some strange reason it must be some sort of therapy for them to snap at the messenger :
Well said. So far, even northern NY is getting low snow, so not just the KY big snow jinx. Plenty of company, so far this year.
1to2 inches of snow in several spots by Friday morning, Chris, fire up your Bandwagon because the know it all folks of the past few days need a ride 🙂
😀
Any chance of frozen precip. before temps. rise tonight, a few temps 32 and below on kymesonet. Some ice (freezing fog?) on wife’s car roof now in beattyville.
Thanks for all you do.Your forecasts help me prepare for work days ahead of time….
Slow your role and peace out are going to be my quotes of the week. I have been telling everyone all week about what is coming and believed your take on the models. Those around me thought I was crazy with the local mets saying temps in 50’s Thursday into Friday. Now they know who THE weatherman is! Thanks for all you do and the site is just perfect!
00z Nam is even wetter, with high snow ratios this could put down some nice accumulations across the central and eastern parts of the state.
Seth, for what days? Thursday?
IF we can get snow on the ground (and stay there), I would expect the chances for snow flying around here in the future to go up. Key is getting snow on the ground.
Personally, I would like about a foot of the white stuff (can’t hike in the snow without snow, right?).
Chris’s newest tweet about the new NAM makes me want to jump up and dance. He said the word, wow! I hope that means he’s seeing an increase in moisture and even COLDER temps for Thursday p.m. That would make me one happy teacher come Friday. Oh, snow…please be on my side for this one time.
New NAM looks spectaular for almost all of central and eastern KY. This is being over looked big time, and looks like it could last from Thursday evening into early Saturday for some. Intense snowbands that lay down a lot of snow if they sit over you a while.
LOVE LOVE LOVE the new NAM! 🙂
I just want to say that I LOVE the new look! AWESOME, bright, clear, professional….I’m recommending on FB. This has been and is the best weather site ever!
We can’t have accumulating snows till I get my 4WD truck fixed.
I love that the possibilty of cold and snow is in the forecast but I do not think we should get our hopes up with regards to the rest of the winter. Check out this site…http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/, very informative video about the rest of the winter.
Appreciate the blog Chris…been following since before you left Lexington. Some people are pretty brave sittin in their tighty whities in their parents basement…..talkin smack from behind their keyboard. Peace Out!!!! lol
Good to see old man winter hasn’t forgotten about us. Chris, I don’t know about everyone else, but I am happy to sit and talk weather all day. That is the reason we’re here. 🙂
Chris, thanks so much for all you do for us weather lovers. I must apoligize for my comment earlier this morning. I was reading the comments, as I always do, and a certain one just got to me. I shouldn’t have let it. So, to ALL who post here, please accept my apology.
Now, to the latest post…..as usual, you have been o the leading edge of the upcoming system, leaving others in your wake! I would not dare trust my weather to anyone other than you. Thanks again, and, can’t wait to see what you have to say in the morning. 😀 Have a great evening, all.
Could this system drift (pick a direction N. S. W. E.) and give us more accumulation?
It is all coming together. Winter, cold, snow, forecast excitement…yes…the choreography of the season is awesome…..
Chris,
I apologize for the my previous comment about wanting things in more layman’s terms. I’m wanting my cake and be able to eat it, too, I guess, lol. I just get frustrated because I want snow so badly, I do not understand the maps at all, and was disappointed this morning. Forgive me.
can someone put the GFS out of its misery? I dont think I have ever seen such a mess of a long range simply awful
Hi Chris, I like the new design of the website, but there is one thing I miss. I liked the time stamp on the older posts. Seeing that you were posting at 3:22 am always made me feel good that I follow someone always on the call and diligent about keeping us updated on the weather. Bring back the time stamp for your postings!
Hey Chris!!
I Love the new site…it is awsome and everything is easy to get to.keep up the great work. Am I getting in on the White stuff this week??PLEASE!!!!!!
WHOOPS….sorry…double!! 🙂
Hey Chris!!
I Love the new site…it is awsome and everything is easy to get to..keep up the great work. Am I getting in on the White stuff this week??PLEASE!!!!!!