Good evening, folks. I promised to drop by to deliver the often imitated First Call For Snowfall map. It’s the first one of the young winter season, but Old Man Winter is still the boss and dictates when we have to break it out. For the first measurable event of the season, this one isn’t too bad, especially considering its still early November.
I’ve already given you my thoughts on what I’m expecting, but here’s it is in map form…
I decided to blanket the entire region in the coating-2″ area just to avoid confusion. Most areas should, at least, see a covering of snow, with some picking up an inch or two. If we are to see locally higher amounts show up, the best chance is across the southeast. You will also notice I added a few headlines to the map. That’s something I’m going to start doing for y’all.
I will freshen that map up if needed later tonight and into Monday.
As our temps crash quickly Monday evening and Monday night, this is a good recipe for a flash freeze as it comes after some rain and while it’s snowing. Some delays and cancellations are certainly possible Tuesday morning, especially in the east.
The late afternoon models are generally in line with my thinking and the NAM fam flipped to what other models have been showing…
Hi Res NAM
Hi Res NAM Snow Map
NAM
NAM Snow Map
GFS
GFS Snow Map
Short Range Canadian
Short Range Canadian Snow
I will have a full update and a New Call For Snowfall coming up later tonight, so check back. Have a good one and take care.
Can we get a Mike S take? LOL
From a fake like you, I would expect nothing new
But, the next run of the NAM, which is not an off run, will be the one I’m sticking with. My take is 0.5″ accumulation, not snowfall, for Louisville to Lexington, which still is in line with CB’s “coating to 2”. Don’t know what false take you’re getting at. CB mentioned a bias about the NAM and yet still supported it at the same time.
Even if we just had flurries this early, that’s a bonus. Not even near Thanksgiving yet and look at the cold we’ve had. Can this winter start cold and STAY cold until spring? Or……… will it suddenly warm up giving us nothing even though it started early? Either can happen.
Oh, and Prelude……I’m very sorry you can’t ride your bike and sit on the porch……..but I LOVE winter. I’m so glad the 90s are gone.
My feelings exactly.
I second this!
Summer is dead and 80s, 90s can stay away for a while!
Yeah yeah yeah lol I’ll just going to have to suck it up. Make no mistake about it I use to like the cold and snow as I’ve gotten older not so much.
I’m excited that this has all held together and all maps are on board. Thank you Chris for all your information you provide.
Ready for fall snow to roll in.
Thankful for the cold temps;
I hope it lasts a long time –
(I’d rather be too cold than too hot)
I’m weird that way lol
Thank you for all you do Chris Bailey !
Very very appreciated!