Good Friday evening everybody. Many areas have picked up on a wintry mix today as light sleet, snow and rain worked across the state. Is any of this a sign of the pattern leading up to Christmas? I have a few thoughts I will share in a bit.
The mix out there now will continue across the eastern half of the state before tapering off late this evening. Temps are going to slowly fall into the low 30s with mid and upper 20s on tap later tonight.
Follow along here…
Current Temps
Christmas week thoughts:
– A storm forming across the southwestern US will lift northeastward into the Ohio Valley late Tuesday into Wednesday. This is likely a rain maker for Tuesday, though some models suggest a mix to start. Some colder air filters in for Wednesday with the rain ending as a mix or some snow.
– There continues to be a very strong signal for a trough digging in across the eastern half of the country for Christmas Weekend. There is also the chance for a storm to kick things off for next Friday. This has been well advertised on the models for a while now. The Canadian continues to show the cold and storm…
– The forecast models also show other systems diving into the cold trough right on through Christmas Day.
– I am not saying you are going to have a White Christmas. I am saying the pattern for Christmas weekend is one that can certainly give you some snow and cold temps. The Canadian Ensembles and the GFS Ensembles have shown this for more than a week and now other models are going in that same direction.
– I am hearing that a lot of my fellow tv weather dudes and dudettes are already promising you no snow for Christmas. That’s a heck of a forecast from 9 days away! Anyone giving you an exact forecast for snow or no snow from 9 days out is silly. If I came on here and promised you a White Christmas from 9 days away… I would even make fun of myself. Same goes for those who are promising you won’t have snow from 9 days away.
A full update comes your way tonight. Have a great evening and take care.
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at least there is a chance! heck snow flying in the air with temps. in the 30’s would be fine with me…
the grinch can have his sun/50* that some are putting out for christmas day…
Chris, you are the first blog I check every morning. I know you don’t forecast for the Bardstown area, but hey…you nail your forecasts more times than not, and you do a great job of NOT getting too much into the ‘hype’ of any one forecast, be it rain, snow, severe wx, whatever. It disturbs me when certain wx peeps out there say things in a ‘definite’ way…when weather is certainly NOT definite!
I check this blog twice a day and I’m up on the northern edge of Cincinnati which I know is out of your area, but I can usually just take your forecasts and sort of extrapolate for my neck of the woods…you do an awesome job!
I know it is early, but I am about to throw the towel into the hamper. The forecast models at nws are going with above temps. for January.
I know it is early, but I am about to throw the towel into the hamper. The forecast models at nws are going with above temps. for January.
I know it is early, but I am about to throw the towel into the hamper. The forecast models at nws are going with above temps. for January.
I know it is early, but I am about to throw the towel into the hamper. The forecast models at nws are going with above temps. for January.
But ALL of the models have been calling for the opposite till now. Suggested analogue years promise a fun ride ahead! I am not giving up at all- yet.
hi every one from the good ole city on the hill known as the town of wayne, wva. at 8:50pm the temp is in the mid 30s and that is pretty well where it has been at for the better part of the day and evening. we had some brief spits of light rain around 1pm then it turned over to sleet about 2pm then we had a brief lull for about an hour and the it turned over to light snow for about 10 to 15 minutes. now i am only talking about light precip. but enough to maybe remind us that winter does indeed begin either tuesday or wednesday, the 20th or 21st, not sure what the 1st day of winter is. i am really liking the looks of some of the models for next weekend, SO FAR, they show 1 low cutting up through huntington wva and a secondary low taking over off the virginia capes on saturday which if that holds true would mean rain to start with a turn to wet snow friday night or saturday morning and then snow showers or flurries would carry us into christmas eve into christmas day.
right now it is eye candy but as chris pointed out these same models have been showing this for several runs for several days now. websites such as wchs tv 8 is 1 website that is saying no snow for christmas as well as some of chris weather buddies at the station where he works wsaz tv 3.
i never could understand how the same mets could forecast different weather for the same days but yet they work together from the same tv stations. can some one please explain this to me. chris bailey, anyone??????? sorry to take up so much space and time but i love this site 10 to 1 over the website at wsaz.com.
thanks to every one involved for letting me on here and may god bless you all and a BIG HELLO AND GOD BLESS TO OUR GOOD FRIEND, OLE ROLO. MY FRIEND, I HOPE YOU R DOING A WHOLE LOT BETTER AND THAT GOD CONTINUES TO TOUCH YOUR BODY. YOU DON’T KNOW ME AND I DON’T KNOW YOU BUT GOD KNOWS BOTH OF US.
Why would Brandon Robinson of WYMT say the snow chances are low then.
Chances of snow on christmas day are probably slim. Now let’s talk about what the gfs (or whatever that map is called) is predicting for the first of the year.