Good Sunday to one and all. Our weekend has been another winner in the world of weather. Many areas hit 32 or below for the first time this season, but afternoon sunshine and mild temps made up for the frosty chill. We are heading into the last week of October and the weather pattern is going to get cranking once again.

It’s  a pattern that can bring some early season fun and games to parts of our region. Will that include your backyard? Time will tell… but the pattern looks an awful lot like winter. More on all that in a bit.

Today will start out with another frosty morning with readings near the freezing mark. Highs later today will rebound into the 60s with a 70 out west.

Morning Lows


Current Temps



Some clouds will increase later today ahead of a weak front that moves just to our north tonight and Monday. I do expect this to have enough juice to spit out a few showers with the best chance in the north and east.

Highs Monday will again range from the 60s east to the low 70s in the west.

Those 70s will then overspread the entire region on Tuesday as a mild southwesterly wind develops. This is ahead of a storm system that takes us back into a pattern straight out of winter. This has been the common theme of the fall as big troughs dig into the Ohio Valley allowing cold air from Canada to work in from the northwest.

The air later this week is the even colder than the air we had with the storm a few days ago and has a better chance to produce some wintry weather for some. Look at the setup on the European Model…



Let’s take a stab at how this may play out…

– A strong cold front moves in later Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms increasing across the region.

– This front swings through into early Thursday with widespread rains as, at least, one wave of low pressure develops along the boundary.

– This looks like a heavy rain maker with many picking up more than an inch of water.

– MUCH colder air works in from northwest to southeast late Wednesday into Thursday. One of these waves of low pressure should strengthen just to our east into the mid atlantic states late Thursday and Friday. This will help pull in colder air from the north.

– I do expect this system to have a swath of mix rain and snow or a stripe of wet snow on the far northern and western edges. Does that edge set up around here? It’s too early to tell… but we are in the game.

– With a deep trough across the region… we will need to watch for something weak trying to dive in from the northwest over the weekend.

Again, that is a early peek at how things look right now. I would not be surprised at all if this thing cuts off across the region. That has been the trend of the fall. Either way… it’s another winter looking pattern.

Have a great Sunday and take care.