Daily Archives: December 30, 2012

Time posted: 8:13 pm

Sunday Evening Quickie

Good Sunday evening, gang.  I wasn’t going to update until I checked my twitter feed and found so many of you asking for something new on here. You guys are convincing! 😉 For the areas with snow on the ground, today was a gorgeous winter day. Temps were cold and there wasn’t much snow melt and that will ensure us a white New Year. The question is… can we put some snow on top of snow and give some of the white stuff to those who have a bare ground? The answer is yes and probably so.

Speaking of the snow vs. no with our last storm. You can see the snowpack showing up on this visible satellite shot from earlier today…

Snow SatThat shows the sharp cutoff very well and illustrates just how difficult a job it is to forecast where that line sets up.

Ok… how about the storm system moving in for New Year’s Eve and Day. I’m looking at the models and looking at the setup and I don’t think the models have the best handle on this thing. There’s a decent chance this ends up being a little bigger event than is being advertised and that will be something to keep an eye on overnight into Monday.

As of now… light snow will break out from west to east Monday afternoon and evening. Initially, the radar will be more bark than bite until we can saturate the lowest levels. A wave of low pressure passes by to the south into New Year’s Day. This should send a swath of accumulating snows eastward across the northern half of the state with more of a mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain and some rain in the south. This could get awfully messy across the entire state.

As that low pushes off to the east… don’t be surprised if it leaves enough moisture behind for leftover snow across southern and southeastern parts of the state by New Year’s night.

I will get you guys a first call map later tonight. Enjoy the evening and thank your twitter pressure for this update. 🙂 Take care.

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Time posted: 1:10 am

Tracking Our Next Round Of Snow

Good Sunday everyone. I know I promised you guys another update yesterday, but your friendly weatherdude had to just chill out and cool the jets for a few hours. It’s been a busy few weeks as this pattern has really ramped up with snow and cold and that’s what we have coming up as we say hello to 2013.

We have a very cold Sunday taking shape with high temps in the upper 20s to low 30s. Breezy conditions will make it feel even colder. A few snow flurries or snow showers will hang tough across the east early today. The clouds try to break up a bit for many areas during the afternoon.

A cold front works in from the northwest on Monday as moisture increases from the Gulf of Mexico. This will cause light snow to break out for much of the state during the afternoon and evening hours. That action would then continue into the first day of 2013. Here’s a look at the juice coming from the GFS Ensembles…

GFS 2

That is likely to lay down a swath of accumulating snow from west to east across the state. How much is still in question and there’s also the question of a mix for the south. I think the models are doing the same thing they did this last time and are a shade too warm with the temps. For areas that are straight snow… a couple of inches would be a good bet.

Some of the models have been hinting at another system working just to our south by the end of next week…GFS 3 We will have to see about that one, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

This active and wintry pattern shows no real signs of letting up through the first few weeks of January. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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