Monthly Archives: December 2016

Time posted: 7:20 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Snow showers and flurries are breaking out across central and eastern Kentucky with light accumulations possible tonight and early Friday. The rest of the forecast for the New Year’s Weekend continues to look the same as we have talked about.

I want to focus on what follows that up for next week. Thunderstorms are possible on Monday, but the real focus is on a serious winter pattern potentially developing for the second half of the week into the weekend.

The overall setup remains the same with blocking overtop of a deep and bitterly cold trough across the country…

euro-3

That same setup can also feature an active southern storm track that turns the corner and up the coast.

The European Model for the end of the week into the following weekend continues to advertise a lot of winter weather…

euro

Verbatim, that run is snow and ice. Don’t sweat things, it changes from run to run. I’m just looking at the overall pattern.

The GFS has a similar setup…

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Check out the bitterly cold air engulfing the country…

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Temps behind that storm system can absolutely tank…

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I leave you with the regional radar to track the snow showers this evening…

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:16 pm

Thursday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, friends and neighbors. Very gusty winds are blowing across the state as temps drop from northwest to southeast. This strong northwesterly wind flow will then kick off snow showers and flurries this evening through Friday.

The best chance continues to be across the central and eastern parts of the state. Some light accumulations will be possible, especially in the east and southeast…

gfs-snow

Here’s regional radar to watch these develop later today…

The next system quickly works in here as we close out 2016 on Saturday. Winds will continue to be gusty with chilly showers potentially mixing with a snowflake or two…

nam

Gusty showers will continue into New Year’s Day as temps begin to climb. Those numbers may really take off on Monday as low pressure moves into the region…

gfs

If we get a storm system taking a track like that, high winds and some strong storms will be possible. At this point… why not? 🙂

Arctic air will then follow that up later Tuesday night into Wednesday. Some light snows will be possible just behind this boundary working through here.

The setup continues to then favor systems working just to our south and east. It’s always a good sign to see the GFS too far south with these…

gfs-2

I will hook you up with another update late today. Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

A Very Active Pattern

Good Thursday, folks. To say our current pattern is active would be an understatement. From record highs to thunderstorms to snow showers, this week is bringing it across our part of the world. Believe it or not, things are about to get much more active with the potential for some harsh winter weather setting up.

Colder air slowly funnels into the state today, but this air isn’t terribly cold by any means. Lots of upper 30s and low 40s show up ahead of a late day increase in clouds.  Winds are going to be absolutely cranking today and could top 35mph at times.

As our northwesterly wind flow sets up tonight and Friday, snow showers and flurries will develop in central and eastern Kentucky. Some very light accumulations will be possible, especially in the east.

Our New Year’s Weekend will feature a weak system moving on for New Year’s Eve. This will bring a cold rain that can mix with a few flakes at times…

nam

New Year’s Day will feature more showers around as temps hang out in the 40s for highs.

The next storm system on Monday could become a strong thunderstorm producer around here…

gfs

High winds and heavy rains will be a good bet with this one. Remember that brief fall drought? Yea, that didn’t last long.

From there, here comes the arctic front! This bad boy arrives on the scene Tuesday night into Wednesday and may have a band of snow along and behind it…

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As that arctic air mass gets established for the second half of next week into the following weekend, we have to watch for the southern storm track to get cranking. The European model…

euro-2

I will update things as usual later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 7:24 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Showers and thunderstorms are racing across the region this evening as a cold front settles into the region. This front will usher in much colder air and gusty winds on Thursday, with snow showers and flurries coming in behind that.

Firs things first, let’s track the boomers…

Much colder air comes in behind this for Thursday with snow showers and flurries flying late Thursday into Friday. Some light accumulations are possible, especially in the east.

I have no changes on the weekend with mainly rain, with some wet snow possibly mixing in on Saturday.

The next storm for Monday can produce high winds and strong thunderstorms…

gfs-3

After that, the arctic front slams in here Tuesday night into Wednesday, with the potential for some snows behind it. The arctic air pouring into the country is the real deal late next week into the following weekend.

Watch the blocking developing overtop of a deepening trough engulfing the entire country…

euroThose are three day increments and are incredible to see. With a setup like that, we have to watch for southern stream storm systems working by just to our south and east. The European continues to be all over that…

euro

Snow lovers from the lower Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley should be liking this potential.

I will update you again later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:28 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. I only have a moment, but wanted to throw out a very quick update on the return of some winter weather.

A cold front moves in this evening with gusty showers rolling from west to east…

Northwesterly winds kick in behind this system for later Thursday into Friday. That should produce snow showers and flurries across central and eastern parts of the state…

gfs

Some coatings will be possible for many, with local 1″ amounts possible in the east on Friday morning…

gfs-snow

The New Year’s Eve system moves in with mainly rain, with some snowflakes trying to mix in…

nam

That will be followed up by a more potent system late New Year’s Day and into Monday. Gusty winds will likely usher in showers and thunderstorms during this time. Another round of heavy rain is there for the taking.

Arctic air then surges in here on Wednesday and could be accompanied by a wave of low pressure along it…

canadian

That’s some absolutely frigid stuff moving into the country for the second half of next week into the following weekend. It’s a setup that will also try to spit out some winter storm systems working just to our south. The GFS now sees this…

gfs-2

Lots of potential on the table over the next few weeks, so let’s sit back and enjoy the ride of tracking it all. Isn’t that half the fun? 🙂

I will update things again this evening. Enjoy the day and take care.

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