Daily Archives: February 7, 2017

Time posted: 6:58 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Thunderstorms rumbled across much of the state today, but we avoided any true severe weather. Those boomers did have a ton of lightning that caused some issues across the Lexington area, and they put down better than two inches of rain for some.

We still have one more line of showers and storms to go through this evening. There’s a small risk for a local severe thunderstorm going up…

The pattern going forward continues to be very active and could produce a little snow around here from time to time. The first chance comes late Wednesday into early Thursday as a system zips across the bluegrass state. Watch how the system turns into a major snowstorm along the east coast…

GFS GIf

That has a chance to put down some light accumulations tomorrow night and Thursday morning…

GFS Snow 2

With readings dropping into he 20s, slick spots may develop on roads to begin the day. Highs that afternoon will be in the upper 20s to low 30s with lows by Friday morning dropping into the teens for some…

Euro 2

Southwesterly winds will quickly increase on Friday as the 50s return. That will set the stage for temps to surge deep into the 60s this weekend…

Euro

That’s ahead of a cold front that can develop another line of showers and thunderstorms…

Euro 4

Energy cuts off in the southwest and tries to come out and merge with a northern branch system by the middle of next week. That could lead to an interesting storm system. If you’re a fan of winter, the GFS is your model starting with that system…

GFS 4

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

Tracking The Severe Weather Threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have the potential for strong to, locally, severe thunderstorms to impact the bluegrass state today. This action is part of a very active weather pattern that continues to feature a nice little fight between winter and spring.

Today’s storms will come at us from southwest to northeast and bring the potential for damaging winds and hail. Can we get a brief tornado spin up? Yes, but the odds are pretty low. Here are the tracking toys for the day…

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Wednesday will feature a much different setup with colder air surging in from northwest to southeast. That sets the stage for a mega temp gradient along this boundary with 60s southeast and 30s west. The colder air wins the battle as another area of low pressure works through here with rain and the chance for snow.

There could be a stripe of snow showing up by Wednesday night. Depending on how strong the wave is, some of that could stick…

Canadian

After a cold day on Thursday, a massive warm up moves in for Friday into the weekend. Temps surge again ahead of another cold front. That front will bring the threat for showers and thunderstorms to our region as a trough digs in behind it. That trough leaves a big piece of upper level energy in the southwest.

The models continue to eject that out next week and merge it with a system diving in from the northwest. The GFS does this…

GFS GIf

We shall see.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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