Monthly Archives: September 2017

Time posted: 3:03 am

Tracking Changes For Next Week

Good Saturday, everyone. September is wrapping up on a cooler than normal weather note, as we have a gorgeous blast of fall. This nice weather hangs tough into the opening of October, but changes are brewing for the week ahead.

Highs today are generally in the upper 60s to near 70 for most of central and eastern Kentucky. The west will see readings in the low 70s. Lows by Sunday morning drop into the low and middle 40s for most, but the colder valleys have a chance to bottom out in the upper 30s.

The weather for Sunday into Monday still looks very, very good. Highs will be in the 70s with a mix of sun and high clouds.

Temps can make a run at 80 by the middle of next week, but a cold front will make a run at us by Thursday and Friday…

That front should have a broken band of showers and storms with it, with cooler temps following it into next weekend.

From there, we very much are going into a big up and down pattern with some wild temp swings across the country. This is a pretty blocky look developing in the second week of October…

A lot of what transpires the next few weeks will be up to the tropics. We have a lot of action threatening to develop during this time…

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:12 am

A Great Fall Weekend

Good Friday, folks. Fall is here and the temperatures are feeling the part as we head into the weekend. It’s hard to believe October starts on Sunday, but that makes me a happy camper. We are now into my favorite time of year, with winter just around the corner.

Our day starts in the 40s with patchy fog in the valleys. Highs will be in the70-75 degree range for many, with slightly higher numbers in the west and south.

A weak cold front arrives late today, with an increase in clouds and just a small chance for a shower…

Temps behind the front look awesome. Saturday starts in the 40s and ends with most thermometers stuck in the upper 60s…

Sunday morning looks chilly and I can see some pockets of upper 30s showing up in some of the cool valleys. The NAM is close…

Highs on Sunday should be back into the low 70s for central and eastern Kentucky, with middle 70s in the west. It looks like a gorgeous start to October.

What happens next week will have a lot to do with the tropics. We are likely to see a weak system form near the coast of Florida this weekend or early next week…

That system then works westward across Florida and into the Gulf. Does it develop or fizzle out? The European model says it fizzles letting a cold front move in by late Wednesday or Thursday…

Ahead of that front, temps could hit the low 80s.

The European Model then follows that up with another weak front by next weekend…

You can see another system showing up near the Bahamas  on the map above. The GFS also shows this, and then brings that northward, merging with one heck of a cold trough in week 2…

Ummm… yeah.

Anyway, the European at day 10 also shows the beginning of a would be deep trough…

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:53 am

Fall Temps Close Out September

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a nice run of fall weather as we end September and begin the month of October. September is following the trend of every month from sine Spring… cooler than normal with a week to 10 days of much warmer than normal. Now, we are ending things cooler than normal.

Highs today are generally upper 60s to low 70s for many areas with a mix of sun and clouds. Get used to hearing that forecast, because it will carry us through the upcoming weekend.

There is another weak front dropping in here Friday night, but most of the shower action stays just north of us. Saturday is likely the coolest day with many temps staying below 70.

Lows will be deep into the 40s, with an outside shot of upper 30s in the sheltered valleys by Sunday morning.

Temps are in the 70s early next week as we watch something trying to spin up near Florida. That may actually work westward into the Gulf, while a cold front makes a run at us. The GFS shows that front being able to pull up some juice from the Gulf…

The Canadian model shows development a similar development, but has the usual timing and spatial differences…

That’s just one of MANY possible scenarios from late next week into the following week. There could be additional development in the Caribbean and Gulf, just as colder shots of air start to dive into the country…

Make it a good one and take care

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Time posted: 2:16 am

Our Fall Front Arrives Tonight

Good Wednesday, folks. While things are toasty again today, we have a gorgeous fall cold front arriving on the scene tonight. This front will usher in an awesome brand of air for Thursday, with another front arriving later on Friday.

Temps ahead of today’s front are deep into the 80s as winds gust up. By evening, watch for a broken band of showers and storms to work in from the northwest…

Here’s regional radar to track the action…

Cooler winds will be blowing when you wake up on Thursday. Temps by Thursday afternoon will be glorious with 70-75 in the west and upper 60s to near 70 for the rest of the area. The NAM high temp forecast…

Friday will see most areas in the 70-75 degree range with winds gusting up. This is ahead of our next system diving in from the northwest by Friday night. Most of the shower action stays north of us, but I can’t rule out a stray shower around Kentucky…

Temps this weekend generally range from the upper 60s to low 70s for highs with lows deep into the 40s. Some of the valleys may sneak into the upper 30s by Sunday morning.

Highs early next week are generally in the 70s as a cold front makes a run at us from the northwest. The models have this front getting close, but washing out as it reaches the state…

Temps will likely make a run toward 80 again next week, but much of what happens will depend on how the tropics behave. We will need to watch the Caribbean and eastern Gulf for development over the next few weeks.

There’s a lot of up and down to this pattern as we head into October. I’m wondering what that means for our second severe weather season? Hmmm

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:10 am

A Fall Cold Front On The Way

Good Tuesday to one and all. Summer steam… Summer Steam… it continues for one more day, then changes sweep across the region. Those changes will be with a couple of fall cold fronts dropping in from the northwest later this week.

The forecast for today is rinse and repeat of our past several days. Enjoy it, fans of summer.

A few clouds will billow up and can produce isolated showers and storms. You can see those on our national satellite…

You can also see the close call North Carolina is having with Hurricane Maria. This storm will continue to lift due north for another day or so before being swept northeast ahead of our first fall front. That arrives late Wednesday and can produce a broken band of showers and storms…

The trough digging into the country behind this front is splitting. That’s actually a good thing for the east coast, or it would have entrained Maria and whipped it northwest.

It also means the air isn’t as cold as it could be, but it’s still going to be a nice blast of fall. Temps behind front number one drop into the 70-75 degree range Thursday into Friday.

Front number two drops in late Friday and early Saturday…

That’s likely a dry system, but I suppose we can squeeze out an isolated shower or storm from it.

The air coming in behind that front looks awesome for the weekend. Highs Saturday should stay in the 60s for many with upper 60s and low 70s on Sunday. Lows by Sunday morning can tickle the 40 degree mark for some.

From there, the pattern becomes murky because it now looks like the tropics are going to spawn a few more systems. I said to beware the potential for tropical systems to try to control the pattern again, and that looks to be the case over the next few weeks.

Temps may warm early next week (nothing like right now), as a disturbance forms near Florida, That slows down the front from the west, putting it in here later in the week. Behind that front, the Caribbean and Gulf will be prime for development…

The tropics continue to be the driver of the overall weather pattern!

Make it a great day and take care.

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