Daily Archives: November 8, 2017

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Seasonally chill temps continue to roll on across the bluegrass state, with a true cold shot showing up on Friday. From there, we will track another cold rain maker later in the upcoming weekend.

The Friday cold shot is impressive across much of the eastern half of the country, especially in the Great Lakes and northeast…

That brings 20s in here by Friday morning with afternoon highs in the upper 30s and low 40s. Those highs are impressive considering we will have sunny skies for the most part. Temps drop into the 20s Friday evening, with low 20s waiting on some of us by Saturday morning.

Winds are going to be gusty during this time, giving us some heart of winter wind chills. Here’s the NAM…

The Canadian numbers are even colder…

Highs for Saturday reach the middle upper 40s and low 50s with an increase in clouds. Those clouds are ahead of another cold front sweeping in on Sunday. This will bring chilly rain to the region through Monday…

There’s a chance we see that system trend a little deeper in the coming days. That may be able to pull down a littler colder air if it does so.

The European Model slows that system down and lets it develop along the east coast, bringing another cold shot in here late next Wednesday into Thursday…

It follows that up with another system diving in here by the end of next week…

I’ve been beating the drum on a winter look developing in the days leading up to Thanksgiving and you can see that on the maps above. The Ensembles are really picking up on this very well. Look at the 5 day temperature departure leading up to turkey day…

That’s an impressive average for 5 days worth of temps from a smoothed out ensembles run. Here’s the daily animation of that same run…

The same Ensembles continue to show the potential for some flakes to fly during the same time…

There’s some “hmm” to the pattern as we head into the second half of November and early December.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:47 am

A Frigid Late Week Cold Shot

Good Wednesday to one and all. Chilly weather has been with us for the past few days, but this is just a little preview of what’s coming later this week. Our Friday is looking downright frigid for this time of year, especially in the wind chill department.

Is that Friday shot a glance into our not too distant future? I will share the long range ensembles that think it is.

Before I get to the actual weather, I wanted to announce we are looking for a new batch of WKYT-TV Weather Watchers. If you are interested in attending a class at the station, shoot me an email and I will give you the details: chris.bailey@wkyt.com You can also hit me up on twitter: @kentuckyweather . This is coming up quickly and spaces are limited, so you better get on it. 🙂

Be sure to include your name and where you’re from. If you’re already a weather watcher and would still like to attend, please let me know.

The weather out there today will feature clouds trying to thin in the north with temps making a run at 50. Farther south and southeast, clouds will hang tough with early day lingering showers moving away. Temps in these areas may stay in the 40s…

Thursday is a very windy day with highs in the 50s, ahead of a cold front dropping in from the northwest. That front has no moisture with it, but means business in the temperature department with 20s by Friday morning. Afternoon highs will be in the upper 30s to low 40s for the central and east, with 40s west.

If you’re heading out for a Friday night on the town, readings will quickly drop into the upper 20s and low 30s, with temps deep into the 20s by Saturday morning.

Wind chills are going to be a MAJOR player with teens showing up to start Friday…

Our Saturday is windy with clouds increasing ahead of the next front. That front moves in Sunday with another edition of  cold rains…

The long range European Ensembles continue to trend toward many of the analogs I’ve been throwing out at you guys since summer. The cold look from Alaska and western Canada makes it way into the eastern half of the country for Thanksgiving week…

The cold shots keep coming on the model, with the focus of the cold settling more into the United States as we head into December…

Given that’s a smoothed out average from a month away, it’s a healthy cold signal showing up on the model.

The same model run isn’t shy with snow chances through the middle of December…

Of course, that’s just a model set to be used as guidance, But it’s usually the best of the best for general trends. That’s the only reason to look at seasonal models… Trends.

I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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