Daily Archives: January 24, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Since the rest of January looks to play out as expected, I wanted to drop by for a few quick thoughts on the pattern as we head toward the month of February.

We continue to see a deep trough targeting the region for arrival right as we flip the calendar to February. The models continue to advertise a healthy storm system with the arctic front moving in late next week..

European Model

GFS

The GFS then follows that up with a lot of action into the first few weeks of the month…

Arctic air combining forces with an active storm track could make for a lot of fun as we roll into the final month of meteorological winter.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:05 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. We continue to track sleet and snow showers across the bluegrass state, as winter continues to show up in our “mild” pattern. That’s when you know you’ve got an old fashioned winter going. ūüėČ

Coatings of snow are likely this afternoon and evening, with maybe a little more showing up in the east and northeast after dark…

Temps rebound Thursday into Friday, with 55-60 showing up for Friday. This is ahead of our weekend system that continues to look rather progressive…

Gusty showers give way to cold temps coming in behind that system for late Sunday into early next week. This is being pushed by a DEEP trough diving into the country by next Thursday and Friday…

That’s a strong storm signal along a true arctic front moving into the region as we say hello to February.

This is one mega temperature drop within 24 hours…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and have another update on here during the evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:40 am

Eyeing The Early February Setup

Good Wednesday, everybody. It’s a seasonally cold day across the bluegrass state, as a few flakes fly in the central and east. The pattern for the rest of January is for up and down temps to continue, but it’s the setup for early February getting my attention.

That’s when we will be seeing the pattern reverting back toward a harsh one for much of the country. I will get to that in a minute. Let’s concentrate on where we going in the short-term, first.

Highs today are upper 30s and low 40s for many, with the possibility for a coating or two of flakes. The best chance is early today across the central and east…

Thursday finds our thermometers shooting back into the 40s, with the 50s waiting on us for Friday and Saturday. That’s ahead of another system rolling our way in the form of a cold front. Showers will quickly increase this weekend, but can we get some flakes behind the front?

That’s, at least, a possibility, depending on how much of a wave of low pressure we can get to develop along the front. Odds continue to favor a pretty progressive system…

A seasonal brand of chill comes in behind that, but should get turned around pretty quickly by the middle of next week. That’s when a milder surge of air comes into play for the final day of January, ahead of a massive change coming as we head into February.

The GFS is really rushing this change, with a deep trough invading by the end of next week…

The brings a true arctic front in here and fires up a big storm system…

That’s probably overdone, but something similar to that is possible with the pattern I see taking shape for February.

This early February¬†flip back to a harsh winter setup comes from a major blocking event in the eastern Pacific into Alaska…

Combine that with a Negative Arctic Oscillation and you can get some major cold back into the country. You can see that continuous supply setting up on the Ensembles…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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