Daily Archives: November 6, 2018

Time posted: 8:26 pm

Election Night Weather Update

Good evening, folks. As this Election Day wraps up, we are tracking a winter looking pattern over the next week. It’s one that may throw a couple of snow chances our way, with a fairly good signal showing up next Monday and Tuesday.

Before we get to all that, a weak system works quickly into the region late tonight and early Wednesday. That may bring a shower or two our way.

The next system arrives late Thursday into Friday as low pressure works just to our south and east. That brings a cold rain into the region, with snow just to our north. As that low passes by, northwesterly winds my spit out a few snowflakes Friday night or Saturday morning…

The GFS is showing the best chance for a few flakes across the mountains of eastern Kentucky…

Very cold air hangs into Saturday with highs struggling into the upper 30s and low 40s.

The signal for a winter looking storm system for early next week continues to show up. The European Model is brining arctic air into the eastern half of the country as low pressure works from the deep south and up the east coast. That could bring snow to our region…

Here’s the European Model snow map from now through the middle of next week…

The GFS isn’t quite making the complete phase of the storm, but is still showing some decent early season winter weather…

The GFS snow forecast through next week…

Lows next week may drop into the teens, with wind chills that are even colder. The cold air is highly anomalous for this time of year and it is almost always accompanied by, at least, some early season snow chances.

I will talk more about that later tonight. Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 3:25 am

A Cold Pattern Sets Up

Good Tuesday and Happy Election Day. Our severe storms are now rolling east of the area, with gusty winds and colder temps settling in. The temps later this week will really begin to drop as early season arctic air invades the country. As a matter of fact, several shots of arctic air are on the way for the next few weeks. These shots may also bring the first snows of the season to some areas.

Winds today remain VERY gusty and may hit 35mph or higher at times. Skies become partly sunny with a leftover shower moving through…

A weak system zips across the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday and may throw some chilly showers into the state. Highs range from the middle 40s to low 50s.

The next system is a stronger one and will move across the area Thursday into Friday. Rain develops ahead of this system, with gusty winds and a temp crash behind it. That may spit out some snowflakes, especially on a northwesterly wind flow by late Friday…

The GFS does show some flakes getting into the bluegrass state…

The Canadian does too, but in a different area…

That sets the stage for a very cold weekend with highs on Saturday struggling to get to 40 in many areas. Gusty winds make it feel even colder.

The next system has even colder air pushing in into early next week. The models go back and forth on just how big of a storm system this push of arctic air can help crank up. The latest GFS is pretty progressive, but shows periods of light snow and flurries…

The prior run had a much strong system…

The European Model is close to having a big storm, but misses the connecting flight to “phase” town. It still brings a snow maker in here…

That’s some incredibly cold air for this time of year and it even opens up the lake effect snows all the way into our region!

I can’t help but think this is a warning shot for the winter ahead. Some major heavyweight winter analogs have been showing up on my set list, but I wanted to see how they looked in November before giving them a serious look. Well, they are serious. 😉

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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