Daily Archives: November 7, 2018

Time posted: 6:59 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Pesky showers are moving away, but another rain maker is on the way for Thursday night into Friday. That one unleashes cold air and a few novelty snowflakes for some, and is also the opening act for a bigger winter weather system moving in here early next week.

Before all of that, let’s track the shower action out of town…

Chilly temps continue on Thursday with highs in the 40s as clouds continue to stream back in here. Our system rolling in from the southwest brings a cold rain that may even have a clap of thunder with it into Friday. Winds will be gusty as temps crash from northwest to southeast. That sets the stage for the possibility of a few flurries on a northwest wind Friday night.

The Hi Res NAM actually has a few snow showers streaking across the sky as early as Friday evening…

The European Model has a similar look…

Saturday is a very cold day with temps deep in the 20s with wind chills in the teens to start. High will be in the upper 30s and low 40s across the state.

The next system moves in here Monday into Tuesday and has a winter look to it. Arctic air is diving into the area with our low developing to our south and rolling northeast. That may bring rain and snow our way as early as Monday, with a better snow chance behind it Monday night and Tuesday.

The Canadian

The GFS and European Models are showing their respective biases. The Euro is too strong and too far west because it has trouble with holding on to energy too long as it ejects from the southwest. The GFS is usually too progressive, but still shows a good snow into eastern parts of the state…

The GFS Ensembles are showing the snow potential from our region through the northeast…

I will focus more on the snow threats coming up with the overnight update. Enjoy the rest of the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

Winter Weather Chances Show Up

Good Wednesday to one and all. Even though it’s only early November, Old Man Winter is trying to show up a little early to the party. A very cold pattern is unfolding for the eastern half of the country and this includes the bluegrass state. In addition to the cold setup, the chances for snow will be on the increase. The first flakes may even show up by Friday night in some areas.

As we wait on winter, we have a fast-mover crossing the state today bringing a shower or two with it. Not everyone sees rain and what falls will be pretty light. Here’s regional radar…

The next system will throw clouds our way on Thursday as low pressure develops to our southwest. A cold rain arrives Thursday night and early Friday as the low moves into the Appalachian Mountains. As the low moves to our northeast, much colder air swings in from the northwest. That flow will give us the chance for a few snowflakes by Friday night…

Here’s the area the GFS thinks has the best show of seeing flakes through Saturday…

That’s a very cold northwest wind kicking in late Friday into Saturday. Check out the frigid wind chill potential by Saturday morning…

The setup early next week is has much more of a snow and winter weather potential around here. Arctic air dives down the plains states with low pressure developing in the deep south. That storm could then run up the east coast, bringing widespread snow to the west of the track. Where that happens remains to be seen, but we are in the game for that chance.

GFS

Canadian

This is a fascinating early season winter storm system and it could make things a little interesting around here. Winter fun and games are already starting on the blog. Does that make anyone else happy? 🙂

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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