Daily Archives: November 9, 2018

Time posted: 7:26 pm

Flakes Ready To Fly Tonight

Good evening, folks. Old Man Winter is showing up tonight in the form of cold winds and a few flurries and snow showers. This is a little big of a tease to a potentially bigger system coming early next week. That one brings the chance fro accumulating snows to parts of the state.

Let’s begin with the action we are seeing right now. A weak system is diving in here on a strong northwesterly wind flow. That is producing flurries and a few snow showers as it rolls in…

I can’t rule out a rooftop or two picking up on a hit and run coating.

Frigid temps drop into the low and middle 20s for many, with gusty winds making it feel MUCH colder. The day may start with wind chills around 10 degrees in a few areas…

Highs on Saturday will be in the 30s with mostly sunny skies taking over. Gusty winds continue to make it feel colder.

Clouds thicken on Sunday as we await the impact from a developing winter storm early next week.  That storm develops in the deep south and rolls up the east coast Monday into Tuesday. Rain and a mix of rain and snow moves in Monday, with a swath of snow taking over Monday night and Tuesday…

That’s the GFS that, as expected, shifted much farther north and west from what it had been showing. That southeast bias of the model is VERY common, so it should be pretty easy for any forecaster to correct.

The European Model has a bias the other way. It holds on to southwestern energy too long, thus showing a stronger low too far north and west. That model is also shaking off the bias and is trending east and south…

Here’s the area I’m highlighting for the best chance to pick up on, at least, some light accumulating snows late Monday and Tuesday…

I will update that as I get a better handle on the setup through the weekend. Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Midday Friday Thoughts

Good afternoon, folks. It’s a pretty nasty looking and feeling day with rain, gusty winds and chilly temps in control. As we head into the evening, the numbers get even colder with a few flakes of snow possible across central and eastern Kentucky. That will be followed up by a winter storm system moving our way early next week.

As always, we start with the precious present. Steady rains continue to push across the east and will slowly end later this afternoon. A gusty shower or sprinkle will still be possible into the early evening…

A weak system dives in here this evening into the wee hours of Saturday morning, bringing the potential for a few flurries or a light snow shower.

Saturday continues to look very cold temps in the 20s to start, with wind chills deep in the teens. Sunshine won’t do much for us in the afternoon with highs in the 30s.

Our next weather maker is a developing winter storm by Monday and Tuesday.This continues to take on the look of a snowfall for parts of Kentucky and surrounding states. Both the GFS and Canadian are showing a swath of decent snows on top of us…

GFS

Canadian

I will have a “best chance for snowfall” map on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. I will also have an update later today, so check back.

Enjoy the rest of your day.

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Time posted: 1:52 am

Early Season Snow Chances Increase

Good Friday, folks. A cold rain is blowing across the state and will be followed by a true winter pattern for the next week and change. This setup will deliver VERY cold temps and the potential for the first flakes and even the first accumulating snow. Winter weather lovers have got to be loving this bonus action coming in the middle of November. 🙂

Let us begin with the rainy weather we’re seeing out there today. Rain is rolling across the state with a rumble of thunder possible in the southeast…

That rain will taper off in the afternoon, but some sprinkles and gusty winds remain. Temps tumble from northwest to southeast into the evening as a weak system drops in from the northwest. That will spark a few snow flurries or an out and out snow shower into early Saturday morning.

Lows by Saturday drop deep into the 20s as gusty winds continue to crank. Those wind chills by Saturday morning could be pretty ugly for this time of year…

Sunny skies take over for the rest of the day, but temps stay in the 30s for highs. Those gusty winds will make it feel like the 20s.

Sunday looks pretty calm with readings in the 20s to start and 40s to end. Clouds will begin to filter back in and it may start to feel like winter weather is on the way. That because… It may very well be. The next system has been on our radar for a long time and it continues to look fairly stout for so early in the season.

Low pressure develops across the deep south then runs northeast, somewhere between the Appalachian Mountains and the east coast. The exact track of that low is the main determining factor on how much, if any, snow you get outside your house.

The models continue to have a favorable look for, at least, some light accumulating snow for some…

GFS

New version of the GFS

Canadian

Icon

Temps behind that will be incredibly cold for this time of year and may give us a sub-freezing high temp day.

I will have updates later today so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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