Daily Archives: November 19, 2018

Time posted: 7:26 pm

Monday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. A couple of cold fronts are moving into the region, bringing chilly showers and the possibility of a few flakes. All of these clears out in time for the busy start of the Thanksgiving travel period, but a couple of systems will likely impact the traditional weekend. Those likely unleash a fairy active winter pattern

That first front moving through here this evening is much slower than I thought. That meant milder air was able to hang on across the south and east, but that’s being wiped out. Gusty showers and drizzle carry us through the evening…

Colder winds blow later tonight as another weak cold front drops in. This will spit out a rain or snow shower into Tuesday with readings in the upper 30s to low 40s. The Hi Res NAM continues to be the most enthusiastic with the flake chance…

The weather behind that looks really good for Wednesday into Thanksgiving. Seasonally chilly temps will be noted, but your sky is dry.

Rain moves in late Black Friday and takes us into the first part of Saturday. Locally heavy downpours will be possible.

Another storm system quickly moves in late Sunday into Monday. This has the chance to bring rain and/or snow into our region…

Canadian

GFS

The setup next week into early December features a lot of blocking over the top and could mean a lot of cold and winter storm potential. This pattern has a lot of potential…

The GFS Ensembles have a fairly snowy look through next week…

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:50 am

A Damp Monday Starts Thanksgiving Week

Good Monday, everybody. Thanksgiving week is here and it’s starting out on kind of a damp and dreary note across our part of the world. Better weather does roll in as we start the long holiday weekend, but another wet weather maker moves in to end it. That will be followed by more of a winter look for the final week of November.

It’s not a constant rain falling today, but you don’t want to be too far away from the umbrellas. Track away…

Highs today are mainly in the 40s as a seasonally cold air mass blows in behind our front. Northwesterly  winds will really gust up tonight into Tuesday as temps continue to fall. Highs are generally in the 30s.  That same northwest wind will have some moisture with it  and that means we will be on guard for snow flurries or a couple of snow showers.

The flakes are showing up on the various models…

HI Res NAM

GFS

Seasonally chilly temps and dry weather is in store for the big travel day Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day.

Our Black Friday starts dry but ends with rain on the increase. That rainy action is ahead of another storm system and will stay with us into Saturday…

The pattern after that system continues to trend strongly toward a winter look for the final week of the month. There is a good chance for a fairly robust storm system during this time, but we are a ways away from knowing exactly what that means for our weather. The models are impressed with this possibility…

As I was saying in updates last week, the pattern for the end of the month into December has the look of throwing additional early season winter storms our way.

Updates later today. Until then, enjoy your Monday and take care.

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