Daily Archives: November 29, 2018

Time posted: 7:32 pm

A Heck Of Weather Ride Ahead

Good evening, folks. It continues to be a pretty wild looking pattern with big rains, high winds, strong storms and the return of Old Man Winter. All of that occurs in the next several days.  Fasten your seatbelts and make sure your trays are in an upright position. 🙂

Showers are increasing quickly this evening as one low pressure works across the region. A few rumbles of thunder are even possible with this action into Friday…

The next system rolling in Friday night into Saturday is another powerful low pressure. This is going to bring blizzard conditions to areas of the plains, but means a lot of rain, strong storms and high winds for our region. Rain and storms increase Friday night, with the potential for a strong line of storms to roll through during the day Saturday…

Can we pop a few severe storms out of that? I certainly think that’s a possibility. High wind is the main player, with gusts that may reach 50mph at times. Yowza.

Hefty rainfall numbers are likely through Saturday. Some 1″-2″ amounts, with locally higher numbers, are likely…

Sunday’s weather looks really nice with mainly dry conditions and gusty winds. Cold air crashes back in Sunday night and Monday. Rain and some snow is possible on Monday as the temps fall. Light snow and snow showers should kick back in for Tuesday and Wednesday with a decent chance to put snow on the ground.

Very cold air comes into play for the middle of the week as we watch to see what happens late next week into the weekend. For days now, I’ve been talking about a storm signal showing up during this timeframe. Of course, it doesn’t mean a storm will happen or that, if it does, it will impact our weather.

That said, the models are picking up on the possibility…

GFS

New version of the GFS

European

Look at the arctic outbreak behind that storm on the European…

As I said… It’s a wild ride ahead of us.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:01 am

Our Crazy Weather Pattern Rolls On

Good Thursday, folks. Our weather pattern this year has been nothing short of crazy, especially of late, and it shows no signs of letting up. We are making the transition from a wintry pattern to a wet and windy setup, but Old Man Winter is already plotting his return by early next week. Get your Dramamine ready! 🙂

Low-level cold, dry air is lingering today and that’s going to play a part in the type of precipitation you get for a time today. A touch of sleet and freezing rain will be possible on the leading edge of a light rain shield moving in from the southwest today. With ground temps below freezing, we will need to watch for a few slick spots, especially in the valleys. Temps should go above freezing later this afternoon with light rain taking control pretty quickly. Here are your tracking toys…

A few showers continue across the region on Friday as we close the books on November. Another big system moves in Friday night and Saturday, bringing heavy rain, thunderstorms and winds gusting from 40-50mph at times…

Rain totals through Saturday night may range from 1″-2″ in many areas of he state…

Sunday is looking better with gusty winds and just a small shower chance. Colder air oozes in starting late Sunday into Monday as we watch another storm system roll our way. I continue to think this is a rain to snow setup, but we have the usual questions on the evolution of the whole thing. The models continue to waffle back and forth on the evolution, too.

The GFS is a little weaker and convoluted with the setup, but that’s typical of this model in this time range…

Behind that storm system, notice the clipper system diving in with some snow by the middle of next week. That clipper shows up even better on the Canadian, which has a stronger first storm system…

The European is a cross between the GFS and Canadian…

That’s a lot of very cold air showing up right on cue during the first full week of December.

The setup late next week into the weekend is going to try and send a storm rolling east across the south…

I will have updates later today. Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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