Daily Archives: December 1, 2018

Time posted: 7:54 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s a rather bumpy Saturday with rounds of showers and storms rolling across the state. It’s not the typical opening day for December, but nothing about our weather pattern is anything close to typical anymore.

Strong storms continue to push across the state and I will get you the tracking tools in a bit. First, let’s talk about the upcoming change back to winter.

After a very windy and nice Sunday, temps begin to fall on Monday as a cold front moves in. That front may touch off a shower or two in the afternoon, with a few flakes flying Monday night. Periods of light snow and snow showers will then settle in for Tuesday and Wednesday…

Some light accumulations are possible as cold air takes control of the pattern, once again.

Keep an eye on late Thursday or Thursday night for a possible light snow maker. That’s been showing up more and more of late, but I’m not quite sold on it yet.

The potential storm system for the weekend continues to show up well on the models. This is a signal I’ve been talking about for about a week, now. While the models have a fairly significant storm, they differ on exactly what to do with it.

The European Model continues to show a healthy snow hit…

The new version of the GFS has a similar look…

The GFS shows a different solution with each run, but that’s to be expected from this far out. The latest run is the farthest north of all the models…

The Ensembles are more in line with the operational European. These maps are for the next two weeks with our storm potential right in the middle of that time…

Euro Ensembles

GFS Ensembles

 

I will get more into this later tonight.  As usual, I have you all set to track the weather for the rest of the day…

 

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 1:54 am

Tracking A Busy Start To December

Good Saturday, folks. It’s a busy first day of December with showers and storms, and high winds rolling across the bluegrass state. This is in response to another big storm system rumbling across the center part of the country. This is also bringing a nice spike in temps, but winter is ready to take control again next week.

Today is not one of those days where it rains all the time. The farther east you live, the better the weather will be. Areas of central and western Kentucky will have the best chance for thunderstorms going up. One way moves through very early this morning with additional storms going up later today. Some of those storms may be strong or severe, producing high winds and some hail.

Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Gusty winds will noted outside of thunderstorms and could reach 40mph-50mph at times.

As the low goes by to our northwest, better weather moves in here for Sunday. Skies will be partly cloudy with temps in the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds will still be gusty, but nothing like today.

Temps will quickly drop on Monday as a cold front moves through. A shower will be possible along and ahead of the boundary, with a some snow showers or areas of light snow behind it. That should carry us into Tuesday and Wednesday…

Some light accumulations are possible during this time. Temps will be very cold during this time, as we wait to see what happens with a system moving in late next week into the following weekend. The models continue to be all over the place in terms of how that system may or may not impact our region. The signal for a southern stream storm system has been there for a while, but the details are a long way from being known.

The models all have some kind of system, but differ on how to handle it. The GFS and European Models have a pretty good snow hit for the bluegrass state…

GFS

European

Canadian

Again, we still have plenty of time to watch the progress of this system, but it continues to have a very interesting look.

I will have updates later in the day. Until then, here are your tracking tools for the day…

 

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

29 Comments