Daily Archives: December 10, 2018

Time posted: 7:48 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, weather weenies. The weather is calm (thank goodness) to start the week and this calm weather carries us for a few more days. After that, we are going to crank it up once again with another big time storm system moving in here later this week. This will bring a lot of rain and wind out way, with just a small chance for some wraparound flakes.

That system really doesn’t arrive until late Thursday into Friday then sticks around into Saturday. It’s in response to a massive upper level low that slowly spins across the region. Wind will be a big player with gusts of 40mph at times. Rainfall numbers may reach 1-2″ in some areas, with thunder a possibility. Can we get some wraparound flakes out of this? Maybe, but it depends on how strong the surface low gets.

The GFS…

The Icon…

Milder air comes back in behind that and takes us into early next week. Beyond that, we start to see the pattern flipping back to cold setup we’ve had since late October. It also keeps the action going as we head into Christmas week…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:29 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. It’s a cold, but nice start to the new week across the bluegrass state, but another big storm system rolls in later this week. That will bring a lot of rain, wind, some thunder and even the chance for wraparound snowflakes.

The weather through Wednesday looks fairly quiet and that’s a good thing. We have earned a few quiet days. By Wednesday night and Thursday, things change in a big way. We have a big upper level low slowly working across the region for the second half of the week into the start of the weekend. These systems have a mind of their own because they’re cut off from the main flow.

The theme of the models is the same, but big differences show up in how they handle the actual powerhouse low pressure.

The GFS only gives the chance for some flakes on the backlash moisture, but has a clipper with snow following that up…

The Canadian has much more wraparound snows behind this storm, but does not have the GFS clipper…

The ICON is more in the mindset of the Canadian…

All of this is in an otherwise milder overall pattern across the country. That starts to change later next week as blocking shows back up. That’s likely good news for Christmas week as the pattern trends colder, with some snow chances trying to show up, too.  I’m dreaming of a… Ok, I won’t sing, but I bet you are now. 🙂

I will hook you up with an update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:30 am

This Busy Pattern Won’t Slow Down

Good Monday, everyone. It’s a new week, but the same super-charged pattern remains for our part of the world. It’s one that will throw two more systems our way in the coming days, with the second system being another potent storm. Can we get some winter weather out of this “milder” setup? That’s a possibility.

As always, let’s start with today and roll forward.

Some light snow may begin the day in the far south central and southeast. Regardless of that, the many areas that picked up ice and snow on Sunday will likely still be dealing with slick roads to begin the day. Watch those icy spots. Here’s regional radar to see if those light snows are in the southern areas to start the day…

Another weak system moves in here late Wednesday and may bring a few showers. There’s a chance for this to be in the form of some white stuff, but I’m not sold on that.

This will be  followed up by a massive upper low slowly spinning on top of us. That should crank up a powerhouse low pressure bringing heavy rain, wind and some thunder to us later Thursday into part of Friday. What happens after that depends on where the upper low decided to travel.

The Canadian has this thing spinning on top of us and then to the northeast, tapping cold air with wraparound snows late Friday and Saturday…

The new version of the GFS is very similar with this big storm…

The GFS keeps this mess more discombobulated  with a much smaller chance for wraparound flakes…

We will have to wait and see how this works out, but this is likely a big wind maker around here.

Next week looks like the potential for another big slow-moving storm system to develop. Check out this deepening trough moving in…

Normal updates come your way later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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