Daily Archives: December 25, 2018

Time posted: 7:45 pm

Christmas Evening Update

Good evening and Merry Christmas, folks.  I wanted to drop by for a quick update on this super active weather pattern we are stuck in. It’s a pattern that will keep throwing systems our way as the overall setup turns much, much colder. Me thinks some fun and games are just around the corner.

The late week storm continues to look like a big wind and rain maker for our region…

A general 1″-2″ of rain may show up and we may even hear some thunder. Winds are going to be a major player and could gust to 50mph or greater from west to east as the front moves through…

Colder air continues to press in here this weekend into early next week as southern stream systems come out. The models aren’t handling these very well, but they’re seeing them…

See all that cold coming in by the middle of next week?

The GFS Ensembles are keying in on the cold shots taking control over the next few weeks…

With the cold shots showing up stronger and stronger, those same Ensembles are seeing more and more snow chances during the same time…

The European Ensembles are singing a similar tune…

It’s interesting to see both Ensembles suggesting snow chances well into the deep south.

Speaking of the Euro Ensembles, the expanded editions from WeatherBell are out and take us through the first few days of February. Here’s the average of the Ensembles…

The single run of the European Control builds a glacier…

If you watched my winter forecast from back in early November, you heard me talk about this being a second half loaded winter. Most of my primary analogs such as 77/78, 02/02, 09/10, 13.14 and 14/15 were loaded from January through March. The progression of this winter appears to be on track, but let’s see if the train can stay on the tracks and not derail. 🙂

Merry Christmas and take care.

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