Daily Archives: December 26, 2018

Time posted: 7:46 pm

Updating The High Wind and Heavy Rain Potential

Good evening, folks. Thursday into Thursday night continue to look very active in our part of the world as another potent storm system impacts the region. High winds may cause issues and heavy rainfall can cause a few local high water issues.

A Wind Advisory is out for much of Kentucky Thursday and Thursday night. Wind gusts of 50mph of higher will be possible, but the Hi Res NAM continues to show some 60mph+ gusts…

Those winds can cause power hits and knock a few trees down, so take precautions ahead of the wind.

Heavy rainfall may also become an issue for some areas, especially across southeastern Kentucky. Local high water issues may develop.

Colder air comes in behind this departing system on Friday with another system due into the region by Saturday night and Sunday. That may bring some rain and snow with it…

A few of the models are really turning the New Year’s Eve system into a big rain maker across Kentucky. The GFS is showing some big rains…

The European has some big totals too…

If those are accurate, a big flood event would be in store for our region. That said, there are so many waves of low pressure, it’s making for a tough time on the models.

The European follows that up with another system that has more of a winter signal…

 

The GFS Ensembles continue to show the colder than normal shots taking control of our weather through the first few weeks of the new year…

The Canadian Ensembles are very similar…

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:26 pm

High Winds For Thursday

Good afternoon, everyone. We have a big storm system on the way for Thursday and Friday and this is going to bring a lot of wind and rain to our region. A few strong storms are even possible as a cold front crosses the state.

Wind gusts of 50mph or greater are likely across much of Kentucky Thursday into Thursday night. The Hi Res NAM is showing gusts of 60mph+ for some in central Kentucky. Notice the model has three straight hours with gusts greater than 60mph in the bluegrass region…

Wind damage is very possible through Thursday night. In addition to the winds, heavy rainfall of 1″-2″ will show up in a rather short amount of time. That can cause additional high water issues for some areas.

The setup after that features a boundary hanging around our region as waves of low pressure develop in the south and roll northeast. Those waves continue to give the models fits because they are hard to time and because we have cold air coming into the country. That puts Kentucky on the infamous dividing line between rain and winter weather…

The new version of the GFS

Canadian

Watch how that trough continues to deepen next week…

I will have another update this evening, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:11 am

A Big Wind and Rain Maker Ahead

Good Wednesday, folks. This first day after Christmas is looks pretty darn awesome, but things take a big turn for Thursday and Friday. That’s when another potent storm system (drink) rolls our way, bringing a lot of wind and rain back to the bluegrass state. After that, the pattern threatens to go into the winter tank as we head into 2019.

Let us start out with the good news part of the weather program and that’s today. Highs hit the 50s in most areas with a 60 out west. After morning fog burns away, expect a partly sunny sky to take over.

A major plains storm system gets cranking later today and really cranks on Thursday. That system will drag a cold front into our region, with widespread showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of it. High winds and heavy rainfall will take center stage around here…

Those wind gusts may top 50mph at times from west to east Thursday into Thursday night. The high winds show up in the west first…

Notice the numbers increase across central Kentucky…

After that system blows through, the models are still trying to get a handle on the amount of cold dropping into the country and how that interacts with a series of systems coming from the southern branch of the jet stream.

Here’s the GFS from this weekend through the middle of next week…

The new version of the GFS is similar is similar with the active southern branch giving way to a shot of very cold air…

Waves of low pressure are setting up just as cold shots start showing up. This is right on cue with many of my analogs that highlight January through March for some significant winter weather in this region. Doesn’t mean that’s for each and every system, but you get the idea.

I will hook you up with more updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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