Daily Archives: January 10, 2019

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Winter Storm Watch North

Good evening, folks. We continue to run in Winter Storm THREAT mode and now comes a Winter Storm Watch for far northern Kentucky. This is only the beginning as additional advisories/watches and warnings will be issued later tonight.

Here’s a look at where the initial watch is…

My thoughts from earlier have not changes, so I will spare you the long breakdown again. Here’re my current expectations with the initial round of snow from late Friday afternoon into Saturday morning…

The rest of the forecast from Saturday afternoon through Sunday remains a little murky. That all depends on where the rain/snow line sets up…

The Hi Resolution RPM Model that’s run from WSI is showing the heaviest snow farther south than any other model and is more oriented toward the Interstate 64 corridor…

The  European model really blasts much of northern Kentucky…

The control run of the European Model (WeatherBell) is a little more expansive with the snow…

The average from the 51 members of the European Ensembles (WeatherBell)…

The GFS is finally starting to see the expanded precipitation shield every other model has been picking up on, but is still too disjointed…

 

Part of the problem with the GFS is the thermal profile. The model is showing freezing rain across Kentucky, but no other model is really showing much of that.

I will have the updates numbers tonight on WKYT-TV at 11 and on KWC later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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