Daily Archives: February 13, 2019

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are rolling toward Valentine’s Day with wind and milder air settling in. This kicks off another active setup that can bring some snow chances our way. That includes the chance to put some snow on the ground by Friday night and Saturday morning.

Let’s begin with Valentine’s Day and roll forward. Temps will be deep into the 50s and may hit 60 in a few areas. This happens on a strong southwesterly wind that can crank to 40mph at times. With the wet ground, a few trees may be knocked down.

Showers arrive Thursday evening and take us into early Friday as a cold front drops in. That boundary stalls near the Kentucky/Tennessee border as low pressure develops and works along it Friday night. That brings rain and snow our way…

GFS

New GFS

Euro

Here’s the area I’m highlighting for the best chance to pick up on a light snowfall…

The active pattern will throw another system our way as early as Sunday with additional systems early next week. Those will put our region walking a fine line between snow and rain. #teamspring

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:47 am

Winter Shows Some Fight By The Weekend

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s a much colder and drier day taking shape across the bluegrass state as our active pattern takes a short break. This little break only lasts into Thursday then returns and tries to bring Old Man Winter with it. It’s a theme similar to last year… The closer we get to spring, the more it looks like winter.

Temps today range from the upper 30s to middle 40s with skies becoming partly sunny.

Valentine’s Day will feature temps spiking into the 50s with clouds increasing and some showers arriving by evening. Those showers are along and ahead of a cold front dropping into the region from the northwest. The air coming in behind this front will be much colder as it sends our storm track farther south.

That means the systems moving in for the weekend could put our region in the winter weather zone. The first arrives late Friday into early Saturday and may lay down a swath of accumulating snow for some. The system behind that could also bring rain and some snow by Sunday…

With so many systems so close together, some fairly steep model changes are likely to show up from run to run.

Looking farther down the road on the long range European through the final days of March, we find a colder than normal setup for much of the country…

At the same time, we see above normal precipitation in our region…

The model says the cold and the precipitation hook up on occasion to produce snow, similar to last year…

In full disclosure… I’m pulling for spring! #teamspring

I will have another update later. Enjoy the day and take care.

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