Daily Archives: November 27, 2019

Time posted: 7:41 pm

Thanksgiving Eve Update

Good evening, folks. Here’s hoping your travels are safe as we head into Thanksgiving Day. We continue to focus on a big storm system for the weekend, but we do have a little action coming in here late Thanksgiving and into Black Friday.

The Thanksgiving setup is a chilly one as clouds increase. There’s the chance for a few showers in the west and southwest before the day is finished.

A few more showers then move in late Friday into Friday evening. Those may impact some of your shopping plans.

As far as the main show this weekend, my thoughts are the same. Here’s a little breakdown:

  • Rounds of rain roll across the state on Saturday as a few thunderstorms join the mix. That continues into Saturday night.
  • Temps start out on a chilly note before turning milder through Saturday night.
  • Winds will also be gusty and could top out around 40mph.
  • As the front moves through, a nice dry slot will be with us on Sunday. That means some sun early and temps that crash from northwest to southeast.
  • Rain and snow develop Sunday evening with light snow giving way to snow showers by Monday. Light accumulations are a good bet across the central and east.

The Euro is coming around to what the Canadian is selling…

Here’s the snow map from that run…

The Canadian is beefier…

Then there’s the GFS…

The model just can’t slow things down and has no idea which low to focus on along the east coast. That means it doesn’t deepen the trough enough, so you’re not getting enough cold air behind it….

Even the ICON can see things clearer…

I’ll see you guys later tonight. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:29 pm

Wednesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Winds of greater than 50mph continue to cause all kinds of issues across the region. Thankfully, the winds are calming down and the temps are coming down. As we go through the main part of the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, we are busy tracking a bigger storm system heading our way.

Clouds will work into northern and northeaster Kentucky tonight as colder air filters in. There’s even the chance for a snowflake or two in those areas.

The temperature trend is down for Thanksgiving and Black Friday. Check out the seasonally chilly numbers…

There’s the chance for a Thanksgiving shower or two in the west, then the threat for late Friday rains across the entire region.

Showers and a few thunderstorms increase quickly on Saturday with heavy rains a good bet. Winds will also be gusty as temps spike ahead of our massive plains storm system. This cuts eastward across the Ohio Valley then redevelops along the east coast and then runs up the coast.

Behind this comes a major temp drop with late Sunday light rain and light snow becoming widespread from the northwest. Light snow gives way to snow showers and squalls Sunday night and Monday as the Great Lakes throw some moisture our way. Light accumulations are a good bet across parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

Ride the Canadian, folks…

The GFS just cannot figure this thing out because it can’t slow things down enough. Remember, this is the “upgraded” version of the GFS and it’s showing itself to be much more progressive than the version it replaced…

Bless its heart.

Once this storm goes through, watch the northwest flow for something to dive in by the middle of next week.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:29 am

Planes, Trains and Automobiles

Good Wednesday, everyone. The day before Thanksgiving is its own little holiday here on Kentucky Weather Center. The busiest travel day of the year gets it’s own special post based on one of the greatest movies ever made… Planes, Trains and Automobiles.

If you have seen it, you will probably agree with that statement. If you haven’t seen it, you’re missing out and I may even block you on twitter. 🙂

How can you not laugh at this?

Admit it, you’re laughing now.

This busy travel day is a nasty one for much of the country with two major storm systems ongoing across the country. The first one is pulling away from us today, but is causing all kinds of wind issues. Gusts of 40-50mph will be noted this morning with the numbers slowly coming down through the day.

Morning showers and a few storms will be racing across the state…

Temps this morning may be around 60 before dropping into the 40s this afternoon. Colder air comes into the region tonight and northern and northeastern Kentucky could have a close brush with a few snowflakes. The Hi RES NAM keeps showing this…

Temps are seasonally cold Thanksgiving into Black Friday…

Thanksgiving looks to feature a mix of sun and clouds with a small chance of showers in the west.

The next storm system is breaking barometric pressure records along the west coast. This storm rolls into the plains states and then cuts eastward into the northern Ohio Valley this weekend. Ahead of it, showers move in later Friday into Friday night. The NAM is close to having that start with a touch of frozen stuff in the north…

The rest of that system brings rounds of rain, some thunder and gusty winds for Saturday. As it moves through by Sunday morning, we will get in on a dry slot for a few hours. Winds look very gust as temps drop from the morning through the afternoon on Sunday. Energy diving in from the northwest will produce a band of rain and snow that switches to light snow Sunday night. Snow showers and a few squalls carry us into Monday. Light accumulations are very possible across central and eastern Kentucky.

The Canadian continues to lead the way with this…

So the Canadian has been telling the other models…

The GFS is still too progressive, but it’s finally beginning to catch on…

As much grief as I give the GFS, the Euro has been just as bad at times. It’s also finally grasping what the Canadian has been selling for days…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Good luck in finally reaching your Thanksgiving destination…

Make it a good one and take care.

12 Comments