Daily Archives: January 27, 2020

Time posted: 7:35 pm

Monday Evening Model Talk

Good evening, folks. We continue to see colder air creeping in from the north as we turn our attention toward a weak system for Wednesday and Wednesday night. We are likely to see a little bit of light accumulating snow from this, but it’s still up in the air on just how widespread that can be.

Before we get to that, some flurries will fly later tonight and into Tuesday as temps hang in the 30s.

Earlier, we found the NAM Fam having little model support for the Wednesday light snow, but it now has a new friend… The Euro.

Here’s the late afternoon run of the Hi Res NAM through 1am Thursday…

NAM

The Euro was way south with the precipitation in it’s earlier runs, but is now showing a swath of light snow…

The GFS still wants no part of this…

So, we shall see what the evening and overnight models show, but there’s the chance for a light snowfall for some by Wednesday night. Stress the light. 🙂

The weekend setup remains the same with a system diving in from the northwest and a low coming out of the deep south. These two do not look to meet up as of now…

That’s close, but no cigar!

I will update things later tonight on WKYT at 11 then on KWC later. Have a good one and take care.

 

 

 

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Time posted: 12:22 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Our first weak system is pushing out of southeastern Kentucky as we now start to focus on the next one. This looks to impact our weather on Wednesday, but to what extent? That’s the million dollar question of the day.

The NAM continues to be the most aggressive in bringing a swath of light snow in from west to east…

The lone model support continues to come from the ICON…

The GFS continues to want no part of this as it wipes out most of the precipitation before it crosses the state…

That said, the model does show a little more precip hanging tough compared to prior runs.

The Canadian continues to keep the southern system way to our south, but keeps a little bit of energy lagging behind across the region…

The Canadian has a similar thought process…

A quick surge of mild air follows that up by Monday, but the models are insistent on another attempt at a pattern realignment. We shall see.

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm then again on KWC this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

Watching The Wednesday Potential

Good Monday, everyone. Our week is starting with a quick-hitting band of light rain across the south, but it’s all eyes on a couple of other systems later this week. The first one tries its very best to bring some snow into the region on Wednesday, but it’s climbing a pretty steep mountain in doing so.

Before we get to that, let’s talk about the early day showers across the south. This action zips through pretty quickly, but a fair amount of clouds remain across the region. Temps will be near normal.

Here are your Monday radars…

Colder winds blow for Tuesday and, with low-level moisture around, I can’t rule out a few flurries or a snow shower.

The system coming in for Wednesday will likely diminish quickly as it moves into our region. That said, we do find a some model support for this to get a little farther east before it does so. Tha NAM is the biggest fan of some Kentucky snows…

The NAM really isn’t that trustworthy until within 48 hours, so let’s see if its onto something or just on something. It does have some support from the ICON…

The GFS wants no part in this scenario as it weakens this system before it can do much around here…

The Canadian strings this out more, leaving a piece behind to follow up for Thursday and Friday…

The models continue to vary greatly with the weekend setup. The GFS has several different systems instead of one main low…

The Canadian is showing more of a northern stream system diving in, keeping any southern low kinda squashed…

Whatever happens with that system, it will be followed by a BRIEF milder surge a few days later. But, that milder surge looks to be ahead of real winter. That’s if we are to believe most of the Ensembles and operational models. The GFS Ensembles snowfall for the next 2 weeks…

Prove it, Ensembles!! 🙂

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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