Good Thursday, folks. A powerhouse of a cold front is rolling across Kentucky and is bringing some big time weather changes. Showers and thunderstorms continue to be ahead of this front, but the blast of fall is making headlines behind it.

Let’s start with the shower and thunderstorm threat and roll from there. Heavy rainfall is a good bet and this is likely to cause some local high water issues. Drier and cooler air moves in from west to east later today into tonight. I’ll have your tracking tools in a bit.

I have made some changes to your Friday forecast. The shower maker I have been hawking for Saturday may arrive a little earlier than I thought. That means scattered showers could be around on Friday…

GFS

That could keep temps down into the middle 60s for areas with full clouds and showers. The threat for showers would hang around into a part of our Saturday. Highs should range from the upper 60s to low 70s.

Sunday looks good with similar temps with a mix of sun and clouds. Lows to start the day will likely be in the 40s and we could be there again on Monday.

Another system could bring a few showers our way late Monday into Tuesday. This ushers in a reinforcing shot of below normal temps for the middle of the week…

Euro 2

This cooler than normal pattern should take us through all of next week.

I promised you some winter weather talk and I am a weatherdude of my word… most of the time. 🙂 One of the things I look at when making a winter forecast is the water temperatures of the Pacific and Atlantic. They are HUGE drivers of the overall weather pattern across North America. There is a model that looks at the water temps and finds similar years and then spits out a forecast based on that data. Here’s what it shows for the fall and winter temps…CFSKeep in mind… there is a lot more that goes into the mix. But, it does show how the oceans are signalling colder than normal temps.

Back to the weather of today…

Current Temperatures

Current Temperatures

Have a great day and take care.