Good Monday, folks. As hard as it is to believe, Thanksgiving week is here! Obviously, this is a big week for holiday travelers and it looks like mother nature is going to cause some big issues across the country. The issues begin today with high winds blowing across the bluegrass state.

The winds out there today may gust close to 50mph at times as a powerful cold front sweeps eastward. Scattered showers will be around as temps drop quickly from west to east.

Sustained Winds

Current temperatures

Seasonally chilly air moves in behind this for Tuesday with upper 30s to low 40s for many areas. Our weather eyes then turn toward a developing east coast winter storm for the busiest travel day of the year.

The European Model continues to nudge a bit west with the snow shield across eastern Kentucky…

Euro

Each run of that model has been showing more of Kentucky getting in on some of the action. Let’s see if that trend continues with future runs today and Tuesday. The Euro also shows the light snow system diving in from the northwest for Wednesday night and Thanksgiving…

Euro 2

The snowfall map from the European Model clearly shows a huge disruptive winter storm across the east. You can also see some light accumulations showing up from the system coming in from the northwest…

Euro 3

The GFS continues to trend toward what the European Model has been cooking for the past several days…

GFS

The system diving in behind that moves in here Wednesday night…

GFS 2

That might have just a touch of rain on the southern edge of that, but the GFS is putting down some light snow accumulations across much of the region…

GFS Snow

Black Friday looks dry and cold with temps in the teens to start and 30s to end. We should see thermometers warm by Saturday on a gusty west and southwesterly wind. That will be ahead of an arctic front that shows up later Sunday or Monday.

The models have been all over the place with timing and strength of that boundary. A few models show this pushing into Kentucky and putting the brakes on with a wave of low pressure developing along it. The end result could be a mixed bag of weather…

GFS 3

I will have updates later today. Hold on to your hats and take care!