Good Monday to one and all. It’s another warm day in the bluegrass state, but I’m focusing on a very busy pattern on the way for the next few weeks. It’s a pattern that can deliver rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rain numbers. It may also bring a shot of chilly air during the first week of May.
Let’s get into it…
Highs today range from the upper 70s to low 80s with just a small threat for a shower or storm going up.
From here, the pattern looks stormy for much of the eastern half of the country…
The first system to bring us some showers and storms arrives late Tuesday and carries us through Thursday…
A few strong or severe storms will be possible during this time with heavy rainfall possible. The Hi Resolution NAM shows a torrential rain threat from a cluster of Tuesday night storms…
The regular run of the NAM through Wednesday night shows the heavy rain threat to be more expansive…
All signs continue to point toward a bigger storm system impacting the region next weekend…
Strong to severe storms and very heavy rains are very possible with that type a system.
Rainfall numbers over the next 10 days show the potential for a lot of action from the Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley…
Once the system from next weekend rolls through, temperatures are likely to tank into Kentucky Derby week…
That’s a lot of real estate with well below normal temperatures showing up. As a matter of fact, it could get cold enough for a kiss of frost…
Looking beyond that shot of chill, the models keep a very active pattern going…
Given the pattern I’ve been hawking and the current setup on the models, I doubt too many people are complaining about it being dry by the middle of May. Wait… What am I saying? Certain people claim it’s dry even when we are in the middle of our wettest year on record. 😉
Make it a great Monday and take care.
Good Morning everyone…
I haven’t been following the blog closely late;y – I am a winter fan. Could someone explain the “wettest year” comment? Is that the last 12 months, this calendar year so far or some other measure? I don’t doubt it, just don’t understand.
I think it’s sarcasm.
May 2002 featured cold temps in the 30s for a few days.
That’s all I’ve been hearing from our local TV mets over here in VA, about how dry it is and we really need rain. Doesn’t seem to be affecting the yard though. Seriously, a dry month and “abnormally dry” drought status and they are acting like we are in desperate need. Of course they make certain to hype the warm week/month train often too.
Wettest year on record? Lexington is 4.16″ below normal for year.
He’s saying that some would say that even if it was the wettest, not that it is the wettest.
Chris is being a little snarky. It is abnormally dry where I live now. I didn’t get all of the rain he got in Lexington during the wettest year. My yard even browned up for a while.
You know if it’s going to be a cold Derby (like Hamlin’s ex’s heart cold), everyone and her sister will be dressed in Elsa colors. Prepare now for the coming ‘hilarity’.
*smh*…..
Just so you know, my ex has a great heart.
BOOOOOO On the Cold… Keep it for the Late fall/Winter months!
Then watch us have 80 degrees in January…… with a tornado outbreak to boot 😉 .