Good Monday, folks. Temperatures have been running well below normal for the better part of the past week, but that all changes this week. Temps will be normal to a little above normal as milder air blows back in. The setup from late this week through next week is interesting, as it will be dictated by what happens with Hurricane Matthew.
We will see a mix of sun and clouds to start the first work week of October with temps in the 70s. There is just enough low-level moisture around to squeeze out isolated showers and storms…
Temps will range from the mid 70s to low 80s from Tuesday through Thursday. There could be enough moisture to spit out a stray shower or storm, but this period looks mainly dry.
Everything beyond this point depends on what happens with Hurricane Matthew. Here’s where the storm is now…
The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center…
The GFS continues to point toward some big problems for the Carolinas by Friday, and potentially into New England this weekend…
There is no DIRECT impact from Matthew on our weather, but the GFS does show some ugly weather for Friday night through Sunday morning with gusty showers and chilly air.
The Canadian Model has trended close to what the GFS has been suggesting for a while, and now threatens the Carolinas…
It doesn’t get fully pulled back into New England, but it’s a definite shift to the west with this run. For us, it doesn’t have the rain the GFS shows, but has a nice shot of weekend chill.
The new European Model is farther west, faster and gets Matthew to near the Florida coast before turning it up the coast toward the Carolinas…
Looking a little farther down the road, the ensembles are hinting at a decent shot of cool again by late next week. The Canadian Ensembles show a deep trough across the region…
The GFS Ensembles aren’t as stout, but also show a trough in the east…
Make it a great Monday and take care.
We’ve been camping here at Myrtle Beach State Park for a few days now. A nice crisp morning, about 60 degrees right now…great sleeping last night. But, we’re scheduled to leave tomorrow morning (little girl has to get back to school by Wednesday). I know, I know…what could have been if we went camping this week….
Even adjusting for the yearly rate increases (i.e. going strictly by power consumption), my Sept. electric bill was the highest ever for the month.
In fact, it was DOUBLE versus a normal Sept.
I hope the dew point stays low enough to not have to crank the AC back on while we go right back into 80s.
The only plus side to the hurricane track would be beneficial (if not excessive) rainfall for the NE.
I don’t what is going to end this boring, dry weather here in far SE KY. I only recorded 0.01 in last week with September final total at 1.82 inches 3 miles east of Harlin at my house.
September was certainly the lowest monthly total I have seen in a good few years. Since August, the rain shut off here in this part of the state!
I need rain Saturday, my woman wanting to have a yard sale and I’m not up for it. so work sum magic Bailey Boy…
Some pretty big changes from the models so far today with matthew..Still shifting west..South Florida all up the coast affected..South Carolina Especially..Maybe we can get him in the Gulf and move toward Ky..Rain..Rain..Rain..
Beautiful day would also like to say happy birthday to one of my favorite people Coffee lady see Chris you started a weather family.