Good Tuesday to one and all. Near record high temperatures are blowing across the bluegrass state on a strong southwesterly wind. This wind will eventually blow in some rather dramatic changes over the next few days. This will include our best rain chance since August, and the coldest air of the young fall season.

Highs today will generally range from 80-85 with winds gusting to 25mph at times. That said, I can see how we get isolated showers and storms to pop across the region.

A cold front nears from the north on Wednesday and could touch off scattered showers and thunderstorms…

gfs

Winds will be very gusty with upper 70s to low 80s in many areas.

A powerful cold front then sweeps into the region on Thursday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. Some areas will pick up 1″ of rain through Friday as the rains slowly move east. Winds will be very gusty as temps tank…

gfs

That could produce the first flakes of the season across the highest West Virginia mountains.

Check out the temps behind that front…

gfs-temps

With a northwesterly wind flow aloft, we could see another weak shower maker skirting the area at some point Saturday…

euro

The European Model has another weak system on Monday…

euro-2

Temps will rebound early next week ahead of another potent weather maker. The setup for a big storm system is on the table. Here’s the European Model for next Wednesday and Thursday…

euro-3

The GFS also has a big signal for that same time…

gfs-2

Have a great day and take care.