First Call For Snowfall

Good evening, folks. Old Man Winter is about to make a triumphant return to the bluegrass state over the next several days. This comes with arctic air and our first widespread snowfall from Thursday into Friday.

It’s our first “First Call For Snowfall” of the season…


For those of you not familiar with how I do things, I put out a first call, then update it and then throw out the “Final Call For Snowfall” before the event starts.

I will start by saying, this looks like an overachiever and I may be underdone in a few spots. Areas of eastern and southeastern Kentucky can see some local 4″ amounts. The GFS shows this well…


Some of the individual members of the GFS Ensembles are also showing a bigger event…


The European Ensembles are made up of 51 different members. Here’s the average snowfall from those 51 different runs…


That’s pretty healthy to see from that many different runs.

The Hi Res NAM also shows some healthy totals, but is likely way underdone in the southeast…


Slick travel is likely to develop Thursday and carry us into Friday as arctic cold temperatures take full control.

The next system is still forecast to just brush southeastern Kentucky, but there is still some wiggle room on the models with this one.

Overnight lows this weekend into Monday can drop into the single digits for much of the state.

I will have a new call for snowfall on WKYT-TV tonight at 11 and on the blog with my late night update.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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38 Responses to First Call For Snowfall

  1. Jcatfan77 says:

    Let’s hope for an overachiever Thursday!

  2. Sherri says:

    I can feel the teachers and students snow dancing all across the state 🙂

  3. Prelude says:

    Bubba, this is a strange system on Thursday it’s like a Alberta Clipper just without Alberta.

  4. Troy says:

    Thanks CB. Thursday/Friday looking good for a bit of snow. I’ll take it! All models have weekend system in the deep south and CB obviously believes that system to be out of reach for anything significant so it’s time for the rest of us to put that one to rest already. 😉

  5. Crystal In Pikeville says:

    Thanks Chris I will take any snow I can get.

  6. Prelude says:

    I must admit that 18z Hi-Res NAM is really liking the I-64 corridor for Thursday.

  7. I’m a school us driver and me and the other drivers, plus the teachers and secretaries are all getting our dance on

  8. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris….let the fun begin! Thanks for the update.

  9. SpaceGhost says:

    Tony Cavalier said this winter would be a disappointment
    for snow lovers but we might have an ice storm event
    (as CB has predicted). Here’s hoping neither of those
    pan out…

  10. SHAAK says:

    So we are talking big snow in Tennessee and Georgia for the weekend? Of course it would miss us in KY.

    • Lucy says:

      It’s still too far to tell. Remember how previous storms have looked like a bulls eye for most of KY, then headed north or elsewhere? We just need to wait and see. I do think seeing the “First Call for Snowfall” is fabulous.

    • BubbaG says:

      Curious if that south it is not more of the bad frozen stuff instead.

  11. EF5snowfall says:

    Just looked at 3k high res. For 00 run now the Thursday system is having the bigger snow into central and there ohio. Figures.

  12. jim b says:

    Ok, here it goes the yawn meter has moved!!!….bout a 9.7…hahaha

  13. LOUsnoluvr says:

    Need some snow to brighten up the dreary, brown look of things! Hoping the Thursday system is an overachiever for us! We shall see. Thanks for the update CB!

  14. EF5snowfall says:

    The00 run of the 3 k n a m has shifted the accumulating snow north into southern ohio. That is a good sign for the weekend storm shifting nothhwest

    • Troy says:

      Nope. I’m really not trying to be the debbie downer here but no matter what this first system does, the weekend system is not moving close enough to do anything other than maybe graze the southernmost counties of the state.

  15. MikeM says:

    No matter how much snow lexington and versailles gets they’ll put down enough salt to last until the spring. Much as I hate to do it I’m going to have to introduce my new truck to the brine slime.

    • BubbaG says:

      This winter is looking like a few ankle biters at best for this area, so would not be surprised that salt is more common. Really sux jogging when the salt is accumulated on the roads and the wind picks up. Depressingly salty.

  16. Xoni says:

    So how much more snow for central

  17. Michelle says:

    I use to get the blog updates in my email but they stopped. Anyone know how to get them back?

  18. BBN84 says:

    Ready for summer already!

  19. Rich says:

    Let’s hope we all get at least 3 inches of snow. BOTS!!

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