Good Monday to one and all. We continue to see a very active weather pattern rolling on across the bluegrass state and for much of the eastern part of the country. It’s all part of a progressive setup that isn’t allowing any one temperature pattern to become established.
We’ve had a lot of back and forth temps, and this week skews cool in the lead up to Memorial Day Weekend. A weekend that is looking rather stormy, at the moment.
Today’s weather looks absolutely gorgeous with partly sunny skies and pleasant temps in the upper 60s to low 70s. The west will be a little warmer.
Temps on Tuesday will rebound quickly as winds turn southwesterly. Isolated showers and storms are possible, especially in the south and east.
Wednesday finds a potent upper level system swinging into the Ohio Valley, with a surface low cutting through here. This will bring showers and thunderstorms in here, and a few of the storms may be strong. As this system wraps up to our northeast, wraparound showers and cooler air pours in for late Wednesday and Thursday…
For areas staying cloudy and damp on Thursday, temps may REALLY struggle. The GFS shows a pretty ugly day…
Temps will then rebound very quickly on Friday and this may set the stage for some decent thunderstorms for Memorial Day weekend…
That may be followed up by another storm system rolling in here by late Memorial Day into the middle of next week…
If that system is real, expect another quick drop in temperatures for the closing days of May. Guess what happens behind that? Another big bounce back. Have I mentioned it’s going to be hard to keep one temperature pattern going for an extended period of time?
The back and forth temperature pattern usually means plentiful rainfall, and we have certainly been seeing that this spring. That’s likely to continue and the computer models suggest this. Check out the Canadian model’s rain forecast for the next 10 days…
As of now, I see very little change in this overall pattern into early Summer, at least.
Make it a great day and take care.
Be ready for the “but it didn’t happen in my area so DROUGHT” posts. 😉
Thanks Chris, With the temperatures bouncing back and forth, I wouldn’t be surprised if some areas of the state receive severe thunderstorms and possible tornadoes anytime this summer. Are we still in a ENSO neutral pattern ? Have a great day everyone.
Thanks for stating the obvious as usual Schroeder…
We are still in a neutral pattern as of the last report last week; however there is still some debate among the models, statistical and otherwise, whether an official El Nino will develop later this year. There should be another report due very soon.
Thankfully, tornadoes actually tend to wane in our part of the country as summer takes hold. There is a valid if shrinking twister threat as June rolls on, but neither Kentucky nor Tennessee have had any July tornado fatalities…. at least in recorded history. This can seem odd considering the many summer t-storms we get.
Unfortunately, we have seen many flash flood events in recent summers. But if memory serves me right, it has been a while since our area had a derecho. I recall the remarkable derecho of June or July 2012. Knock on wood??
Derecho’s truly are humdingers talk about widespread wind damage for several hundred miles. I’ve been in two derecho’s you literally can hear the wind approaching a mile or two away before the storms gets to where your at. Literally sounds like a freight train coming from a distance.