Progressive Pattern Continues

Good Sunday to one and all. Today is a pretty good weather day for much of our region, but the threat for storms isn’t getting too far away from us. Showers and storms will come at us in waves for the week ahead and some of these may impact our 4th of July.

Today’s temps will be in the 80s with humidity levels lower than the past few days. I still can’t rule out a scattered shower or storm in the west and south, but mainly dry times will be noted across the region:

Monday will find temps in the normal mid and upper 80s with an increase in humidity and some scattered storms around.

The storm chances will pick up on the 4th, especially in the afternoon and evening. This is not looking to be a washout of a day, but the scattered storms may impact some of the parades and fireworks displays.

From there, we get a system to roll across the Ohio Valley with an increase in showers and storms through the rest of the week…

We will need to watch for heavy rains in that kind of setup, with the potential for some local flash flood issues.

That system is being pushed by a cooler brand of air for next weekend. That shows up well on the Canadian…

We are also going to be watching the tropics… This time for a system rolling across the Atlantic. It’s rather early in the season to see a tropical wave come off Africa and develop as it heads west, but that’s what’s happening…

Recent runs of the GFS develop this system and take it right into the southeastern US the following week…

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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8 Responses to Progressive Pattern Continues

  1. Allen says:

    What happened to the rain and storms that were supposed to be widespread Saturday?
    Earlier in the week, Sat and Tue looked like wash outs. Sat wasn’t (in Lex) and now it’s looking good thru the Fourth. I’m glad but seems a big change.

    • DJC says:

      Local NWS forecast now has it dry in the London area until late afternoon Wednesday. Even then, it’s only a 20% chance of a storm.

    • MarkLex says:

      I know …..I thought a front was going to stall on top of us……if it did it must have been a really weak front with no energy.

      • DJC says:

        The models have been very inconsistent lately with storm coverage. I think the front pretty much has washed out.

    • LD says:

      Not CB’s fault entirely, the data side has been letting him down a lot during the winter and spring and continuing into the summer.

  2. Chris Mercer says:

    June ended up exactly “normal” temperature wise in Lexington. A welcome change from all the above normal months. July looks like it will start at or slightly below normal for the first few days. The “normal” highs and lows in July really don’t change for the entire month. The normal high on any day of July is 86–the normal low 66 or 67.

    • LD says:

      Still not a below normal month in a loooong time.

      Appreciate you and your helpful and factual info bringing perspective to what actually happens and not just what’s supposed to happen.

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